公開の場で検証

11 Jun 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

2試合中2試合を採点済み
0
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
1
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
1
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
0
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均: Strong read

  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    20
    • Mexico · 実現64.1%
    • 引き分け24.8%
    • South Africa11.1%
    判定
    Strong read

    Mexico 2–0 South Africa was the outcome the model rated most likely (64.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.202, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場が結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Julián QuiñonesScored two crucial goals for Mexico with a close-range finish and a rebound, and was active in creating further opportunities.
    9Raúl JiménezScored two goals for Mexico, including a header and a composed finish, significantly extending his team's lead.
    South Africa
    7ModibaRegistered South Africa's only notable shot on target with a long-range effort that required a save from the Mexico goalkeeper.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    21
    • South Korea · 実現36.7%
    • 引き分け26.6%
    • Czech Republic36.7%
    判定
    Within expectations

    South Korea 2–1 Czech Republic was the outcome the model rated most likely (36.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.606, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場を上回る結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Korea
    8Kim Seung-gyuMade several vital stops, including a crucial late save, proving instrumental in securing the win.
    8Hwang In-beomScored South Korea's equalising goal with a precise finish, initiating the comeback.
    8Oh Hyeon-gyuCame off the bench to score South Korea's winning goal, securing the comeback victory.
    Czech Republic
    8Czechia #7Opened the scoring for Czech Republic with a well-executed header from a set-piece.

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Model report card — 11 Jun 2026 · onthepitch