公开检验

11 Jun 2026

下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。

已评分 2/2 场
0
精准命中
高置信度,结果正确
1
判断有力
对实际结果赋予了最高概率
1
符合预期
结果在预测范围之内
0
意外
模型未能预见到这一点

当日均值: Strong read

  • 已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    20
    • Mexico · 实际64.1%
    • 平局24.8%
    • South Africa11.1%
    结论
    Strong read

    Mexico 2–0 South Africa was the outcome the model rated most likely (64.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.202, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Julián QuiñonesScored two crucial goals for Mexico with a close-range finish and a rebound, and was active in creating further opportunities.
    9Raúl JiménezScored two goals for Mexico, including a header and a composed finish, significantly extending his team's lead.
    South Africa
    7ModibaRegistered South Africa's only notable shot on target with a long-range effort that required a save from the Mexico goalkeeper.
  • 已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    21
    • South Korea · 实际36.7%
    • 平局26.6%
    • Czech Republic36.7%
    结论
    Within expectations

    South Korea 2–1 Czech Republic was the outcome the model rated most likely (36.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.606, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    胜过市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Korea
    8Kim Seung-gyuMade several vital stops, including a crucial late save, proving instrumental in securing the win.
    8Hwang In-beomScored South Korea's equalising goal with a precise finish, initiating the comeback.
    8Oh Hyeon-gyuCame off the bench to score South Korea's winning goal, securing the comeback victory.
    Czech Republic
    8Czechia #7Opened the scoring for Czech Republic with a well-executed header from a set-piece.

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Model report card — 11 Jun 2026 · onthepitch