Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

토너먼트 득점자 · Morocco

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

MoroccoP(1골 이상 득점)

Morocco의 현재 소집 명단에 있는 모든 선수를 2026 월드컵에서 Morocco 경기 중 1골 이상 넣을 모델 확률 순으로 정렬했습니다. /scorers/ 에서 글로벌 상위 50명을, /countries/mar/ 에서 예상 스쿼드와 선발 XI을 확인하세요.

풀 내 76명

Rank1Sofyan AmrabatPKPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)27.0%
Rank2Youssef En-NesyriPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)19.3%
Rank3Brahim DíazPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)15.2%
Rank4Ayoub El KaabiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)14.4%
Rank5Abde EzzalzouliPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)13.2%
Rank6Eliesse Ben SeghirPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.9%
Rank7Soufiane RahimiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.6%
Rank8Tarik TissoudaliPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.5%
Rank9Amine AdliPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)10.7%
Rank10Achraf BencharkiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%
Rank11Walid AzaroPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%
Rank12Ilias AkhomachPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank13Karim El BerkaouiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.9%
Rank14Maroan SannadiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%
Rank15Sofiane DiopPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank16Chemsdine TalbiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%
Rank17Abderrazak HamdallahPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.7%
Rank18Gessime YassinePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank19Osame SahraouiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank20Ayoube AmaimouniPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank21Hamza HannouriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank22Hamza IgamanePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank23Yassir ZabiriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank24Youssef MehriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank25Azzedine OunahiPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank26Oussama TannanePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank27Mounir ChouiarPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank28Walid El KartiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank29Bilal El KhannoussPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank30Ismael SaibariPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank31Achraf HakimiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank32Neil El AynaouiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank33Sabir BougrinePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank34Oussama TarghallinePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank35Mohamed Rabie HrimatPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank36Amin ZahzouhPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank37Aschraf El MahdiouiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank38Amir RichardsonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank39Samir El MourabetPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank40Ayyoub BouaddiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank41Oussama El AzzouziPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank42Rayane BounidaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank43Nayef AguerdPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank44Jawad El YamiqPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank45Romain SaïssPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank46Hamza El MoussaouiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank47Mohamed ChibiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank48Anass Salah-EddinePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank49Marwane SaâdanePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank50Mohamed BoulacsoutePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank51Anas BachPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank52Soufiane BouftiniPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank53Achraf DariPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54Mahmoud BentaygPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Marouane LouadniPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Noussair MazraouiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Chadi RiadPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Mohamed MoufidPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Abdel AbqarPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Souffian El KarouaniPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank61Zakaria El OuahdiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank62Abdelhamid Aït BoudlalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank63Omar El HilaliPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank64Redouane HalhalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank65Abdelhak AssalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank66Ismaël BaoufPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank67Youssef BelammariPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank68Issa DiopPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank69Adam MasinaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank70Ahmed Reda TagnaoutiPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank71El Mehdi Al HarrarPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank72Mehdi BenabidPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank73Munir MohamediPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank74Rachid GhanimiPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank75Salaheddine ChihabPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank76Yassine BounouPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

산출 방법. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.