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30 Jun 2026

아래 모든 확률은 킥오프 전에 공개되고 확정되었습니다. 이 페이지는 각 확률을 실제 결과와 비교해 채점합니다.

3경기 중 3경기 채점 완료
0
정확히 맞춤
높은 확신, 정확한 결과
1
탁월한 판단
실제 결과에 가장 높은 확률을 부여
2
예상대로
결과가 범위 안에 있었음
0
의외의 결과
모델이 예상하지 못한 결과

일별 평균: Within expectations

  • NetherlandsvsMorocco
    채점 완료28 Jun 확정
    1 – 1
    • Netherlands34.8%
    • 무승부 · 실현31.8%
    • Morocco33.4%
    판정
    Within expectations

    Netherlands 1–1 Morocco was an outcome the model rated at 31.8% (31.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.699, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Netherlands
    5El IdrissiMissed a penalty during the shootout for the Netherlands.
    Morocco
    8IssaSTDelivered a powerful header to secure Morocco's equalizing goal.
    8SaibariAMShowed attacking prowess with a significant shot and converted the decisive penalty in the shootout.
    5Achraf HakimiRBMissed a penalty during the shootout, which could have secured an earlier victory for his team.
  • FrancevsSweden
    채점 완료28 Jun 확정
    3 – 0
    • France · 실현57.0%
    • 무승부26.0%
    • Sweden17.0%
    판정
    Strong read

    France 3–0 Sweden was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.281, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    France
    10Kylian MbappéSTMbappé delivered an exceptional performance, scoring four goals and providing an assist, showcasing clinical finishing and constant threat.
    9Michael OliseRWOlise was instrumental in France's attack, scoring a goal, providing an assist, and consistently creating danger with his exceptional dribbling.
    7Adrien RabiotCMRabiot contributed to the attack with a shot on target and a key assist, while also applying midfield pressure.
    Sweden
    8Sweden GoalkeeperGKThe Sweden goalkeeper made numerous crucial saves, single-handedly preventing a much larger deficit for his team.
    4LagerbielkeRBLagerbielke struggled defensively against France's potent attack and was prone to losing possession in dangerous areas.
  • Ivory CoastvsNorway
    채점 완료28 Jun 확정
    1 – 2
    • Ivory Coast29.2%
    • 무승부29.7%
    • Norway · 실현41.1%
    판정
    Within expectations

    Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway was the outcome the model rated most likely (41.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.521, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Ivory Coast
    8Amad DialloRWCame on as a substitute and scored a brilliant solo equalizer, completely changing the dynamic of the match.
    7Yahia FofanaGKMade numerous important saves throughout the match, denying Norway on multiple occasions despite conceding two goals.
    Norway
    8Erling HaalandSTScored the decisive winning goal for Norway with a clinical finish, securing their victory despite being isolated for much of the first half.
    8Norway GoalkeeperGKMade several important saves throughout the match, including a crucial one in added time to preserve the lead.
    7Torbjørn HeggemMade a vital goal-line block that prevented Ivory Coast from scoring, preserving Norway's lead.

See how the forecast holds up

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Model report card — 30 Jun 2026 · onthepitch