公開の場で検証

30 Jun 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

3試合中3試合を採点済み
0
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
1
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
2
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
0
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均： Within expectations

  • NetherlandsvsMorocco
    採点済み28 Junに確定
    1 – 1
    • Netherlands34.8%
    • 引き分け · 実現31.8%
    • Morocco33.4%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Netherlands 1–1 Morocco was an outcome the model rated at 31.8% (31.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.699, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Netherlands
    5El IdrissiMissed a penalty during the shootout for the Netherlands.
    Morocco
    8IssaSTDelivered a powerful header to secure Morocco's equalizing goal.
    8SaibariAMShowed attacking prowess with a significant shot and converted the decisive penalty in the shootout.
    5Achraf HakimiRBMissed a penalty during the shootout, which could have secured an earlier victory for his team.
  • FrancevsSweden
    採点済み28 Junに確定
    3 – 0
    • France · 実現57.0%
    • 引き分け26.0%
    • Sweden17.0%
    判定
    Strong read

    France 3–0 Sweden was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.281, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    France
    10Kylian MbappéSTMbappé delivered an exceptional performance, scoring four goals and providing an assist, showcasing clinical finishing and constant threat.
    9Michael OliseRWOlise was instrumental in France's attack, scoring a goal, providing an assist, and consistently creating danger with his exceptional dribbling.
    7Adrien RabiotCMRabiot contributed to the attack with a shot on target and a key assist, while also applying midfield pressure.
    Sweden
    8Sweden GoalkeeperGKThe Sweden goalkeeper made numerous crucial saves, single-handedly preventing a much larger deficit for his team.
    4LagerbielkeRBLagerbielke struggled defensively against France's potent attack and was prone to losing possession in dangerous areas.
  • Ivory CoastvsNorway
    採点済み28 Junに確定
    1 – 2
    • Ivory Coast29.2%
    • 引き分け29.7%
    • Norway · 実現41.1%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway was the outcome the model rated most likely (41.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.521, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Ivory Coast
    8Amad DialloRWCame on as a substitute and scored a brilliant solo equalizer, completely changing the dynamic of the match.
    7Yahia FofanaGKMade numerous important saves throughout the match, denying Norway on multiple occasions despite conceding two goals.
    Norway
    8Erling HaalandSTScored the decisive winning goal for Norway with a clinical finish, securing their victory despite being isolated for much of the first half.
    8Norway GoalkeeperGKMade several important saves throughout the match, including a crucial one in added time to preserve the lead.
    7Torbjørn HeggemMade a vital goal-line block that prevented Ivory Coast from scoring, preserving Norway's lead.

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Model report card — 30 Jun 2026 · onthepitch