公开检验
30 Jun 2026
下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。
当日均值： Within expectations
Netherlands 1–1 Morocco was an outcome the model rated at 31.8% (31.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.699, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Netherlands5El IdrissiMissed a penalty during the shootout for the Netherlands.Morocco8IssaSTDelivered a powerful header to secure Morocco's equalizing goal.8SaibariAMShowed attacking prowess with a significant shot and converted the decisive penalty in the shootout.5Achraf HakimiRBMissed a penalty during the shootout, which could have secured an earlier victory for his team.France 3–0 Sweden was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.281, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
France10Kylian MbappéSTMbappé delivered an exceptional performance, scoring four goals and providing an assist, showcasing clinical finishing and constant threat.9Michael OliseRWOlise was instrumental in France's attack, scoring a goal, providing an assist, and consistently creating danger with his exceptional dribbling.7Adrien RabiotCMRabiot contributed to the attack with a shot on target and a key assist, while also applying midfield pressure.Sweden8Sweden GoalkeeperGKThe Sweden goalkeeper made numerous crucial saves, single-handedly preventing a much larger deficit for his team.4LagerbielkeRBLagerbielke struggled defensively against France's potent attack and was prone to losing possession in dangerous areas.Ivory Coast 1–2 Norway was the outcome the model rated most likely (41.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.521, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Ivory Coast8Amad DialloRWCame on as a substitute and scored a brilliant solo equalizer, completely changing the dynamic of the match.7Yahia FofanaGKMade numerous important saves throughout the match, denying Norway on multiple occasions despite conceding two goals.Norway8Erling HaalandSTScored the decisive winning goal for Norway with a clinical finish, securing their victory despite being isolated for much of the first half.8Norway GoalkeeperGKMade several important saves throughout the match, including a crucial one in added time to preserve the lead.7Torbjørn HeggemMade a vital goal-line block that prevented Ivory Coast from scoring, preserving Norway's lead.
See how the forecast holds up
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