公開の場で検証

2 Jul 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

3試合中3試合を採点済み
0
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
3
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
0
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
0
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均: Strong read

  • 採点済み28 Junに確定
    20
    • United States · 実現54.8%
    • 引き分け28.2%
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina17.0%
    判定
    Strong read

    United States 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina was the outcome the model rated most likely (54.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.313, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    United States
    7Sergiño DestRBShowed good attacking intent from his defensive position, nearly scoring with a header.
    4Folarin BalogunSTScored a goal but was sent off with a red card, significantly impacting his team's numerical advantage.
    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    8FrizGKMade several crucial saves, including a close-range stop and punching away dangerous corners, keeping his team in the game.
    5Amar MemićRegistered one of his team's few attacking attempts, though his low shot went wide.
  • 採点済み28 Junに確定
    21
    • Portugal · 実現49.1%
    • 引き分け27.2%
    • Croatia23.6%
    判定
    Strong read

    Portugal 2–1 Croatia was the outcome the model rated most likely (49.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.389, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Portugal
    9RonaldoSTConverted a crucial penalty to equalize for Portugal and was a constant offensive threat, demonstrating leadership.
    Croatia
    8PerisicOpened the scoring for Croatia with a well-placed shot, demonstrating clinical finishing.
    7VlašićShowed good attacking instincts by scoring, though it was disallowed for offside.
    7SučićDisplayed good attacking awareness and finishing by scoring, even if the goal was negated by an offside call.
  • 採点済み28 Junに確定
    30
    • Spain · 実現57.5%
    • 引き分け27.1%
    • Austria15.4%
    判定
    Strong read

    Spain 3–0 Austria was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.278, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Spain
    8Mikel OyarzabalAMScored Spain's crucial opening goal with a clinical and composed finish, breaking the deadlock.
    8Dani OlmoAMWas a constant attacking threat, forcing a brilliant save and hitting the woodwork twice, unlucky not to score.
    8Pedro PorroRBScored Spain's second goal with a well-timed run and composed finish from his full-back position.
    Austria
    9Alexander SchlagerGKMade multiple crucial and impressive saves, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria despite conceding three goals.

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Model report card — 2 Jul 2026 · onthepitch