試合

全 104 試合の結末が分かるとしたら？

モデルは2026年の全日程について完全な予測を公開しています——結果確率、期待ゴール数、最も可能性の高いスコアラインです。モデルの仕組み.

104 試合
期待ゴール (xG) とスコアライン
毎日更新
方法論は完全公開

2026-05-28 時点のデータ

CalibrationBacktested to a 0.572 Brier score across 987 out-of-sample major-tournament matches (2014–2024): lower is better, and a no-skill 1-in-3 guess scores 0.667. In plain terms, outcomes the model rated 70% likely happened about 70% of the time. Live scoring begins 2026-06-11. See the scoreboard →

Free preview · full depthSee every stat free on Mexico vs South AfricaThe complete forecast — expected goals, scorelines, and per-player scoring — for the tournament opener, no Pass needed.View →

Three matches to watch · group stage

Closest match

Senegal vs Norway

H36.1%

D27.5%

A36.4%

Highest expected goals

Brazil vs Haiti

Expected goals with the Pass

Highest stakes

Spain vs Uruguay

Combined title chance with the Pass

Where the model and FIFA disagree: New Zealand (FIFA #86 → model #36) · Haiti (FIFA #84 → model #39) All 48 →

Win, draw, and win probabilities are free for every match. Expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass.

Thu 11 Jun

2 matches

Fri 12 Jun

2 matches

Sat 13 Jun

4 matches

Sun 14 Jun

4 matches

Mon 15 Jun

4 matches

Tue 16 Jun

4 matches

Wed 17 Jun

4 matches

Thu 18 Jun

4 matches

Fri 19 Jun

4 matches

Sat 20 Jun

4 matches

Sun 21 Jun

4 matches

Mon 22 Jun

4 matches

Tue 23 Jun

4 matches

Wed 24 Jun

6 matches

Thu 25 Jun

6 matches

Fri 26 Jun

6 matches

Sat 27 Jun

6 matches

Standard Pass

Go deeper on every match

The Standard Pass unlocks match probabilities on every calendar row, plus expected goals, scoreline distributions, win-margin and goal totals, the half-time / full-time grid, and per-player top-scorer probabilities across all 104 matches.

Get the Pass — $15 →

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.