Medido em público

2 Jul 2026

Cada probabilidade abaixo foi publicada antes do início e travada. Esta página avalia cada uma em relação ao que realmente aconteceu.

3 de 3 jogos avaliados
0
Acertou em cheio
Alta confiança, resultado certo
3
Boa leitura
Deu a maior probabilidade ao que aconteceu
0
Esperado
O resultado ficou dentro da faixa
0
Surpresa
O modelo não previu isso

Média do dia: Strong read

  • United StatesvsBosnia and Herzegovina
    AvaliadoTravada em 28 Jun
    2 – 0
    • United States · realizado54.8%
    • Empate28.2%
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina17.0%
    Veredito
    Strong read

    United States 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina was the outcome the model rated most likely (54.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.313, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    United States
    7Sergiño DestRBShowed good attacking intent from his defensive position, nearly scoring with a header.
    4Folarin BalogunSTScored a goal but was sent off with a red card, significantly impacting his team's numerical advantage.
    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    8FrizGKMade several crucial saves, including a close-range stop and punching away dangerous corners, keeping his team in the game.
    5Amar MemićRegistered one of his team's few attacking attempts, though his low shot went wide.
  • PortugalvsCroatia
    AvaliadoTravada em 28 Jun
    2 – 1
    • Portugal · realizado49.1%
    • Empate27.2%
    • Croatia23.6%
    Veredito
    Strong read

    Portugal 2–1 Croatia was the outcome the model rated most likely (49.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.389, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Portugal
    9RonaldoSTConverted a crucial penalty to equalize for Portugal and was a constant offensive threat, demonstrating leadership.
    Croatia
    8PerisicOpened the scoring for Croatia with a well-placed shot, demonstrating clinical finishing.
    7VlašićShowed good attacking instincts by scoring, though it was disallowed for offside.
    7SučićDisplayed good attacking awareness and finishing by scoring, even if the goal was negated by an offside call.
  • SpainvsAustria
    AvaliadoTravada em 28 Jun
    3 – 0
    • Spain · realizado57.5%
    • Empate27.1%
    • Austria15.4%
    Veredito
    Strong read

    Spain 3–0 Austria was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.278, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Spain
    8Mikel OyarzabalAMScored Spain's crucial opening goal with a clinical and composed finish, breaking the deadlock.
    8Dani OlmoAMWas a constant attacking threat, forcing a brilliant save and hitting the woodwork twice, unlucky not to score.
    8Pedro PorroRBScored Spain's second goal with a well-timed run and composed finish from his full-back position.
    Austria
    9Alexander SchlagerGKMade multiple crucial and impressive saves, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria despite conceding three goals.

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Model report card — 2 Jul 2026 · onthepitch