Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group C · Matchday 2

BrazilvsHaiti

·20:00 local

対戦成績の履歴

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
8 Jun 2016Copa AméricaNOrlando71W
18 Aug 2004FriendlyAPort-au-Prince60W
21 Apr 1974FriendlyHBrasília40W

Brazil vs Haiti, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Brazil's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Brazil or Haiti.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group C · Matchday 2

Both sides face significant squad concerns ahead of this match. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Brazil win
    86.9%
  • Draw
    11.3%
  • Haiti win
    1.8%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Haiti #84 in the world; the model ranks them #39 in this tournament field, 45 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Brazil v Haiti plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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算出方法。 すべてのゴールプロセス出力は1つの Dixon-Coles フィットを共有しています。詳しくは 方法論.

スナップショット 2026-05-28