Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group C · Matchday 2

BrazilvsHaiti

·20:00 local

历史交锋记录

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
8 Jun 2016Copa AméricaNOrlando71W
18 Aug 2004FriendlyAPort-au-Prince60W
21 Apr 1974FriendlyHBrasília40W

Brazil vs Haiti, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Brazil's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

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Match conditions
Stage:
Group C · Matchday 2

Both sides face significant squad concerns ahead of this match. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

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Rank checkFIFA ranks Haiti #84 in the world; the model ranks them #39 in this tournament field, 45 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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Match-outcome probabilities, the most likely scorelines, scorer probabilities, and the in-match paths, all from one Dixon-Coles fit. The Standard Pass unlocks them for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

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Most likely scorers

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The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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计算方法。 所有进球过程输出共用同一个 Dixon-Coles 拟合模型。详见 方法论.

数据截至 2026-05-28