Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Iran vs New Zealand

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group G·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
2
Iran W-D-L
1-1-0
Last meeting
2003Win (30)

All-time record from Iran's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

57.2%
Draw
25.9%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Iran and New Zealand?
Iran and New Zealand have met 2 times. From Iran's perspective the all-time record is 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2003 win (3–0) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Iran vs New Zealand?
OnThePitch's model rates Iran at 57% to win, with a 26% chance of a draw and 17% for New Zealand.
When do Iran and New Zealand play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group G. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group G matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.