Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Germany vs Ecuador

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group E·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
2
Germany W-D-L
2-0-0
Last meeting
2013Win (42)

All-time record from Germany's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

41.1%
Draw
26.9%
32.0%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Germany and Ecuador?
Germany and Ecuador have met 2 times. From Germany's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2013 win (4–2) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Germany vs Ecuador?
OnThePitch's model rates Germany at 41% to win, with a 27% chance of a draw and 32% for Ecuador.
When do Germany and Ecuador play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group E. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group E matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.