Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Brazil vs Morocco

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group C·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
3
Brazil W-D-L
2-0-1
Last meeting
2023Loss (12)

All-time record from Brazil's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

50.1%
Draw
30.2%
19.7%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Brazil and Morocco?
Brazil and Morocco have met 3 times. From Brazil's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2023 loss (1–2) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Brazil vs Morocco?
OnThePitch's model rates Brazil at 50% to win, with a 30% chance of a draw and 20% for Morocco.
When do Brazil and Morocco play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group C. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group C matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.