Mesuré en public
1 Jul 2026
Chaque probabilité ci-dessous a été publiée avant le coup d'envoi et verrouillée. Cette page note chacune d'elles par rapport à ce qui s'est réellement passé.
Moyenne du jour : Within expectations
- 2 – 0
- Mexico · réalisé31.8%
- Match nul33.9%
- Ecuador34.3%
VerdictWithin expectationsMexico 2–0 Ecuador was an outcome the model rated at 31.8% (31.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.698, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Mexico8G. MoraSTScored the opening goal for Mexico, setting the tone for the match.8Uriel AntunaRWScored a goal and was an active threat in attack, including from set pieces.8Raúl JiménezSTScored a goal with a composed finish, extending Mexico's lead.Ecuador8Hernán GalíndezGKMade several excellent and spectacular saves, preventing a heavier defeat for Ecuador.7Yeboah ZamoraSTShowed good individual skill, creating shooting opportunities and forcing saves from the Mexico goalkeeper.6Jordy CaicedoSTRegistered a shot on target that was saved by the Mexico goalkeeper, contributing to attacking efforts. - 2 – 1
- England · réalisé58.2%
- Match nul30.3%
- DR Congo11.5%
VerdictStrong readEngland 2–1 DR Congo was the outcome the model rated most likely (58.2% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.280, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
England9Harry KaneSTScored both crucial goals for England, including the winner, showcasing clinical finishing and leadership when his team needed it most.9Noni MaduekeRWScored two goals with clinical finishing, establishing himself as a key attacking threat for England.8Anthony GordonLWScored a goal, demonstrating good positioning and clinical finishing within the penalty area.DR Congo9Congo DR GK #1GKDelivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous crucial saves that kept his team competitive throughout the match.8SapangaSTScored a crucial opening goal for Congo DR with a clinical finish, giving his team an early lead.6Chancel MbembaCBMade an attacking effort that forced a save from the England goalkeeper, showing offensive intent from defense. - 3 – 2
- Belgium · réalisé44.8%
- Match nul28.7%
- Senegal26.5%
VerdictWithin expectationsBelgium 3–2 Senegal was the outcome the model rated most likely (44.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.457, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Belgium8Thibaut CourtoisGKMade multiple critical saves, keeping Belgium in contention despite conceding two goals.8Romelu LukakuSTScored a crucial header that sparked Belgium's comeback from a two-goal deficit.8Dodi LukébakioRWDelivered a crucial and accurate cross for Belgium's first goal, initiating the comeback.Senegal8Ismaïla SarrRWScored Senegal's second goal with excellent pace and finishing, and created an early chance.7Habib DialloSTScored the opening goal for Senegal with a well-placed finish.7Sadio ManéSTScored an impressive individual goal, showcasing his dribbling and finishing skills.
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