Öffentlich gemessen

1 Jul 2026

Jede Wahrscheinlichkeit unten wurde vor dem Anpfiff veröffentlicht und festgelegt. Diese Seite bewertet jede einzelne anhand dessen, was tatsächlich passiert ist.

3 von 3 Spielen bewertet
0
Voll getroffen
Hohe Sicherheit, richtiges Ergebnis
1
Starke Einschätzung
Gab dem Eintretenden die höchste Wahrscheinlichkeit
2
Erwartet
Das Ergebnis lag im erwarteten Bereich
0
Überraschung
Das Modell hat dies nicht kommen sehen

Tagesdurchschnitt: Within expectations

  • BewertetFestgelegt am 28 Jun
    20
    • Mexico · eingetreten31.8%
    • Unentschieden33.9%
    • Ecuador34.3%
    Urteil
    Within expectations

    Mexico 2–0 Ecuador was an outcome the model rated at 31.8% (31.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.698, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    8G. MoraSTScored the opening goal for Mexico, setting the tone for the match.
    8Uriel AntunaRWScored a goal and was an active threat in attack, including from set pieces.
    8Raúl JiménezSTScored a goal with a composed finish, extending Mexico's lead.
    Ecuador
    8Hernán GalíndezGKMade several excellent and spectacular saves, preventing a heavier defeat for Ecuador.
    7Yeboah ZamoraSTShowed good individual skill, creating shooting opportunities and forcing saves from the Mexico goalkeeper.
    6Jordy CaicedoSTRegistered a shot on target that was saved by the Mexico goalkeeper, contributing to attacking efforts.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 28 Jun
    21
    • England · eingetreten58.2%
    • Unentschieden30.3%
    • DR Congo11.5%
    Urteil
    Strong read

    England 2–1 DR Congo was the outcome the model rated most likely (58.2% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.280, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    England
    9Harry KaneSTScored both crucial goals for England, including the winner, showcasing clinical finishing and leadership when his team needed it most.
    9Noni MaduekeRWScored two goals with clinical finishing, establishing himself as a key attacking threat for England.
    8Anthony GordonLWScored a goal, demonstrating good positioning and clinical finishing within the penalty area.
    DR Congo
    9Congo DR GK #1GKDelivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous crucial saves that kept his team competitive throughout the match.
    8SapangaSTScored a crucial opening goal for Congo DR with a clinical finish, giving his team an early lead.
    6Chancel MbembaCBMade an attacking effort that forced a save from the England goalkeeper, showing offensive intent from defense.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 28 Jun
    32
    • Belgium · eingetreten44.8%
    • Unentschieden28.7%
    • Senegal26.5%
    Urteil
    Within expectations

    Belgium 3–2 Senegal was the outcome the model rated most likely (44.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.457, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Belgium
    8Thibaut CourtoisGKMade multiple critical saves, keeping Belgium in contention despite conceding two goals.
    8Romelu LukakuSTScored a crucial header that sparked Belgium's comeback from a two-goal deficit.
    8Dodi LukébakioRWDelivered a crucial and accurate cross for Belgium's first goal, initiating the comeback.
    Senegal
    8Ismaïla SarrRWScored Senegal's second goal with excellent pace and finishing, and created an early chance.
    7Habib DialloSTScored the opening goal for Senegal with a well-placed finish.
    7Sadio ManéSTScored an impressive individual goal, showcasing his dribbling and finishing skills.

See how the forecast holds up

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Model report card — 1 Jul 2026 · onthepitch