Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Group E · Matchday 2
CuraçaovsEcuador
·19:00 local
Snapshot · 2026-05-28Effectif de Curaçao →Effectif de Ecuador →Suivi en direct →Confrontation directe →
Latest news & match context
Team news
No recent headlines for Curaçao or Ecuador.
Match conditions
- Stage:
- Group E · Matchday 2
Both sides face some attacking uncertainties ahead of this fixture; unlock the full breakdown of squad availability with a Pass.
Match-outcome probability
- Curaçao win5.8%
- Draw19.6%
- Ecuador win74.6%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Curaçao #82 in the world; the model ranks them #40 in this tournament field, 42 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →
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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Curaçao v Ecuador plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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