Forecast vs result · Round of 32 · Match 6

Ivory Coast vs Norway

2026-06-30

The recap publishes at full time. Once this match finishes, this page shows how the frozen pre-match forecast below scored against the realised outcome: Brier score, log loss, and final xG vs predicted xG. Until then, follow it live on the live tracker.

Pre-match forecast

Ivory Coast win
21.4%
Draw
26.5%
Norway win
52.1%
Ivory Coast
0.90
expected
goals
Norway
1.23

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Ivory Coast
8
Amad Diallo60'–110'

Came on as a substitute and scored a brilliant solo equalizer, completely changing the dynamic of the match.

2goals
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Match timeline

60'Came on as a substitute in the 60th minute
74'Amad Diallo scores the equaliser for Ivory Coast, making it 1-1.
110'Ivory Coast scores, goal by Diallo
7
Yahia Fofana6'–128'

Made numerous important saves throughout the match, denying Norway on multiple occasions despite conceding two goals.

6saves
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Match timeline

6'Ivory Coast goalkeeper makes a save from a close-range shot
11'Ivory Coast goalkeeper makes another save from a shot inside the box
24'Ivory Coast goalkeeper makes a diving save to deny Norway
41'Ivory Coast goalkeeper makes a save from a powerful free-kick
58'denying Haaland a clear chance in the 58th minute.
128'Ivory Coast goalkeeper makes a save from a Norway attack
Norway
8
Erling Haaland58'–132'

Scored the decisive winning goal for Norway with a clinical finish, securing their victory despite being isolated for much of the first half.

2goals2shots1on target
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Match timeline

58'clear chance denied by Yahia Fofana
86'Erling Haaland scores the winning goal for Norway, making it 2-1.
132'Norway scores, goal by Haaland
8
Norway Goalkeeper51'–142'

Made several important saves throughout the match, including a crucial one in added time to preserve the lead.

3saves
▼

Match timeline

51'Norway goalkeeper makes a save from an Ivory Coast shot
90'Norway goalkeeper makes a crucial save in added time.
142'Norway goalkeeper makes a save from an Ivory Coast free-kick
7
Torbjørn Heggem57'–57'

Made a vital goal-line block that prevented Ivory Coast from scoring, preserving Norway's lead.

1blocks
▼

Match timeline

57'Norway defender blocks a shot on the goal line after an Ivory Coast corner
7
Martin Ødegaard39'–39'

Provided the assist for Norway's opening goal, demonstrating his playmaking ability.

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Match timeline

39'Provided an assist for Antonio Nuca's opening goal.
7
Oscar Bobb86'–86'

Delivered a crucial pass that directly led to Haaland's winning goal, showcasing his impact from the bench.

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Match timeline

86'Provided a crucial pass that led to Erling Haaland's winning goal.

Match observations

  • The match was an exciting, end-to-end contest with both teams creating numerous scoring opportunities.
  • Norway took an early lead, but Ivory Coast fought back with a moment of individual brilliance to equalize.
  • Both goalkeepers were called upon to make several important stops throughout the game.
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How to read this. A single match's Brier and log-loss are noisy. What matters is how the forecast calibrates across many matches. This per-fixture recap is one row of the aggregate calibration scoreboard at /docs/calibration/. The pre-match probability shown here is the one frozen before kickoff; it was never re-priced during play.