Round of 16 · Match 8
Live score, descriptive in-match stats, and a post-match calibration recap appear here once the match kicks off.
Match-outcome probability
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- Stage:
- Round of 16 · Match 8
- Date:
- 7 Jul
- Venue:
- BC Place, Vancouver
Ranked by likely importance. None of these feed the forecast: the probabilities rest on team strength, venue conditions and the style matchup.
- 1.Elimination stakes: A one-off elimination tie. Motivation, risk appetite and game management under tournament pressure are not model inputs; the forecast rests on team strength and the style matchup.
- 2.Rest differential: Switzerland have had 4 days since their previous match versus 3 for Colombia. Rest and recovery are not model inputs.
Both squads look close to full strength going into this match.
Post-match calibration is free. When this match finishes, the forecast-vs-result recap (pre-match probability vs the realised outcome, Brier score, log loss, and final xG vs predicted) publishes on the recap page, open to everyone.
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The model's full forecast for this match
Match-outcome probabilities, the most likely scorelines, scorer probabilities, and the in-match paths. The Standard Pass unlocks them for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
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Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Switzerland v Colombia plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
Every forecast graded against the real result, scored on 987 matches since 2014. See the scorecard.
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