Forecast vs result · Group H · Matchday 2

Cape Verde vs Uruguay

2026-06-21

The recap publishes at full time. Once this match finishes, this page shows how the frozen pre-match forecast below scored against the realised outcome: Brier score, log loss, and final xG vs predicted xG. Until then, follow it live on the live tracker.

Pre-match forecast

Cape Verde win
5.9%
Draw
25.8%
Uruguay win
68.3%
Cape Verde
0.47
expected
goals
Uruguay
1.59

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Cape Verde
9
Cabo Verde Player #1384'–84'

Scored two crucial goals, including a header and a composed chip, leading his team's comeback.

2goals1headers
▼

Match timeline

84'Cabo Verde's player number 13 scored his second goal with a chipped shot, levelling the score once more.
Uruguay
8
Luis Suarez75'–75'

Scored a spectacular opening goal with clinical finishing, providing a moment of individual brilliance.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

75'Uruguay's Luis Suarez (number 9) scored with a powerful shot into the top corner, breaking the deadlock.
8
Uruguay Player #9

Scored a vital goal with good close control and a precise finish, briefly restoring his team's lead.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

Match observations

  • The match was an exciting, high-scoring contest between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, featuring dramatic swings in momentum.
  • Both teams showed strong attacking intent, leading to multiple goals and an engaging spectacle for the fans.
  • The atmosphere in the stadium was vibrant, with fans reacting enthusiastically to each goal scored.
← Pre-match forecastLive tracker →

How to read this. A single match's Brier and log-loss are noisy. What matters is how the forecast calibrates across many matches. This per-fixture recap is one row of the aggregate calibration scoreboard at /docs/calibration/. The pre-match probability shown here is the one frozen before kickoff; it was never re-priced during play.