Goleadores del torneo · Uruguay

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

UruguayP(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de Uruguay, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute Uruguay en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/uru/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

50 jugadores en el grupo

Rank1Darwin NúñezPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)21.5%
Rank2Brian RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%
Rank3Rodrigo AguirrePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.6%
Rank4Federico ViñasPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.4%
Rank5Cristian OliveraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%
Rank6Facundo TorresPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.7%
Rank7Agustín ÁlvarezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.7%
Rank8Facundo PellistriPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.4%
Rank9Agustín CanobbioPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.4%
Rank10Luciano RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.4%
Rank11Ignacio LaquintanaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%
Rank12Lucas TorreiraPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank13Facundo MartínezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank14Nicolás AzambujaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank15Manuel UgartePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.6%
Rank16Maximiliano AraújoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%
Rank17Nahitan NándezPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank18Federico ValverdePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank19Emiliano MartínezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank20Nicolás de la CruzPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank21Rodrigo ZalazarPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank22Rodrigo BentancurPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank23Juan Manuel SanabriaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank24Ronald AraújoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank25Julio DaguerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank26Giorgian de ArrascaetaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank27Luciano GonzálezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank28Pablo AlcobaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank29Santiago HomenchenkoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank30Nicolás FonsecaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank31Mathías OliveraPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank32José María GiménezPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank33Sebastián CáceresPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank34Guillermo VarelaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Matías ViñaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36José Luis RodríguezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Marcelo SaracchiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Joaquín PiquerezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Nicolás MarichalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank40Santiago BuenoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Kevin AmaroPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Santiago MouriñoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Brian BarbozaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Cristopher FiermarinPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank45Fernando MusleraPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank46Franco IsraelPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Kevin MartínezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48Paulo da CostaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank49Santiago MelePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank50Sergio RochetPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Cómo se calcula. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.