Turniertor-Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Uruguay

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

Uruguay — P(erzielt mindestens 1 Tor)

Alle Spieler im aktuellen Aufgebot von Uruguay, sortiert nach der Modell-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass sie mindestens ein Tor in den Spielen von Uruguay bei der FIFA Fussball-WM 2026 erzielen. Siehe /scorers/ für die globale Top 50 und /countries/uru/ für den prognostizierten Kader und die voraussichtliche Startelf.

50 Spieler im Aufgebot

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Darwin NúñezPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)21.5%

Rank2Brian RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%

Rank3Rodrigo AguirrePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.6%

Rank4Federico ViñasPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.4%

Rank5Cristian OliveraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%

Rank6Facundo TorresPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.7%

Rank7Agustín ÁlvarezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.7%

Rank8Facundo PellistriPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.4%

Rank9Agustín CanobbioPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.4%

Rank10Luciano RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.4%

Rank11Ignacio LaquintanaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank12Lucas TorreiraPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%

Rank13Facundo MartínezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%

Rank14Nicolás AzambujaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%

Rank15Manuel UgartePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.6%

Rank16Maximiliano AraújoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%

Rank17Nahitan NándezPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%

Rank18Federico ValverdePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%

Rank19Emiliano MartínezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%

Rank20Nicolás de la CruzPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank21Rodrigo ZalazarPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank22Rodrigo BentancurPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank23Juan Manuel SanabriaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank24Ronald AraújoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank25Julio DaguerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank26Giorgian de ArrascaetaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank27Luciano GonzálezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank28Pablo AlcobaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank29Santiago HomenchenkoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank30Nicolás FonsecaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank31Mathías OliveraPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank32José María GiménezPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank33Sebastián CáceresPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank34Guillermo VarelaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank35Matías ViñaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank36José Luis RodríguezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank37Marcelo SaracchiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank38Joaquín PiquerezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank39Nicolás MarichalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank40Santiago BuenoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank41Kevin AmaroPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank42Santiago MouriñoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank43Brian BarbozaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank44Cristopher FiermarinPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank45Fernando MusleraPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank46Franco IsraelPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank47Kevin MartínezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank48Paulo da CostaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank49Santiago MelePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank50Sergio RochetPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.