Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Goleadores del torneo · Netherlands

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

NetherlandsP(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de Netherlands, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute Netherlands en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/ned/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

41 jugadores en el grupo

Rank1Donyell MalenPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)28.3%
Rank2Memphis DepayPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)22.7%
Rank3Cody GakpoPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)21.4%
Rank4Wout WeghorstPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)13.7%
Rank5Brian BrobbeyPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)10.0%
Rank6Noa LangPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank7Crysencio SummervillePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank8Emmanuel EmeghaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank9Mexx MeerdinkPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank10Justin KluivertPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank11Marten de RoonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%
Rank12Teun KoopmeinersPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%
Rank13Denzel DumfriesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank14Tijjani ReijndersPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank15Xavi SimonsPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank16Jeremie FrimpongPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank17Quinten TimberPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank18Guus TilPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank19Mats WiefferPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank20Luciano ValentePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank21Kees SmitPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank22Sem SteijnPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank23Virgil van DijkPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank24Ryan GravenberchPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank25Frenkie de JongPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank26Stefan de VrijPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank27Matthijs de LigtPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank28Micky van de VenPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank29Lutsharel GeertruidaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank30Jurriën TimberPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank31Nathan AkéPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank32Jorrel HatoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank33Jan Paul van HeckePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank34Quilindschy HartmanPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank35Jerdy SchoutenPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank36Bart VerbruggenPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Justin BijlowPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Kjell ScherpenPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Mark FlekkenPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Nick OlijPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Robin RoefsPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Cómo se calcula. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.