赛事进球预测 · Netherlands
Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0Netherlands — P(进球 ≥1)
Netherlands 当前征召池中的每位球员, 按模型预测其在 2026 世界杯 Netherlands 所参加的比赛中至少进一球的概率排序。详见 /scorers/ 查看全球前50名, 以及 /countries/ned/ 查看预测大名单与首发 XI。
征召池中共 41 名球员
#PlayerFormTeam outlook
Rank9Emmanuel EmeghaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%
Rank10Mexx MeerdinkPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%
Rank15Xavi SimonsPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank20Luciano ValentePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank21Kees SmitPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank22Sem SteijnPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank26Stefan de VrijPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank27Matthijs de LigtPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank29Jeremie FrimpongPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank32Lutsharel GeertruidaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank33Jerdy SchoutenPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank35Quilindschy HartmanPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank37Justin BijlowPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Kjell ScherpenPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Nick OlijPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
- Pos
- Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
- Form
- Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
- Team outlook
- Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
- P(scores ≥1)
- Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.