Goleadores del torneo · France

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

FranceP(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de France, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute France en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/fra/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

40 jugadores en el grupo

Rank1Marcus ThuramPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)40.5%
Rank2Kylian MbappéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)23.9%
Rank3Bradley BarcolaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)19.8%
Rank4Michael OlisePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)15.3%
Rank5Ousmane DembéléPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)14.3%
Rank6Désiré DouéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)11.2%
Rank7Jean-Philippe MatetaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)9.3%
Rank8Christopher NkunkuPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%
Rank9Hugo EkitikePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.8%
Rank10Kingsley ComanPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank11Florian ThauvinPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%
Rank12Maghnes AkliouchePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%
Rank13Randal Kolo MuaniPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.7%
Rank14Rayan CherkiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%
Rank15Adrien RabiotPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%
Rank16Aurélien TchouaméniPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank17N'Golo KantéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank18Manu KonéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank19Eduardo CamavingaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank20Mattéo GuendouziPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank21Warren Zaïre-EmeryPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank22Khéphren ThuramPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank23Théo HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank24Jules KoundéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank25Maxence LacroixPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Pierre KaluluPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank27Lucas DignePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank28Malo GustoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank29Ibrahima KonatéPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank30Loïc BadéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank31Lucas HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank32Benjamin PavardPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33William SalibaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank34Dayot UpamecanoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank35Clément LengletPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank36Alphonse AreolaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Brice SambaPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Lucas ChevalierPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Mike MaignanPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Robin RisserPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Cómo se calcula. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.