Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Artilheiros do torneio · France

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

France — P(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de France, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de France na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/fra/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

40 jogadores no grupo

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Marcus ThuramPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)38.9%

Rank2Ousmane DembéléPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)27.9%

Rank3Bradley BarcolaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)20.5%

Rank4Randal Kolo MuaniPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)15.9%

Rank5Michael OlisePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)13.3%

Rank6Christopher NkunkuPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%

Rank7Hugo EkitikePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.0%

Rank8Kylian MbappéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.1%

Rank9Jean-Philippe MatetaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.7%

Rank10Désiré DouéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.0%

Rank11Kingsley ComanPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%

Rank12Maghnes AkliouchePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%

Rank13Florian ThauvinPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%

Rank14Rayan CherkiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank15Adrien RabiotPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%

Rank16N'Golo KantéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank17Manu KonéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank18Eduardo CamavingaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank19Aurélien TchouaméniPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank20Khéphren ThuramPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank21Théo HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank22Jules KoundéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank23Mattéo GuendouziPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank24Warren Zaïre-EmeryPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank25Malo GustoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank26Ibrahima KonatéPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank27Maxence LacroixPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank28Pierre KaluluPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29William SalibaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank30Clément LengletPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank31Lucas DignePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank32Benjamin PavardPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33Dayot UpamecanoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank34Loïc BadéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank35Lucas HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank36Alphonse AreolaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Brice SambaPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Lucas ChevalierPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Mike MaignanPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Robin RisserPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.