Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Goleadores del torneo · Ecuador

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

Ecuador — P(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de Ecuador, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute Ecuador en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/ecu/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

47 jugadores en el grupo

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Kevin RodríguezPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)16.5%

Rank2Enner ValenciaPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)13.8%

Rank3Jordy CaicedoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%

Rank4John MercadoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank5Janner CorozoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%

Rank6Jeremy ArévaloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%

Rank7Anthony ValenciaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%

Rank8John YeboahPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank9Elías LegendrePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank10Leonardo CampanaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank11Nilson AnguloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank12Alan FrancoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank13Alan MindaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank14Kendry PáezPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank15Gonzalo PlataPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank16Pedro VitePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank17Jordy AlcívarPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank18Piero HincapiéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank19Denil CastilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank20Moisés CaicedoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank21Darwin GuaguaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank22Jhegson MéndezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank23Bruno CaicedoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank24Bryan RamírezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank25Ederson CastilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank26Luis FragozoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank27Malcom DacostaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank28Patrik MercadoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank29Yaimar MedinaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank30Jackson PorozoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank31Xavier ArreagaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank32Pervis EstupiñánPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank33Ángelo PreciadoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank34Joel OrdóñezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank35Félix TorresPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank36José HurtadoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank37Cristian RamírezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank38Leonardo RealpePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank39Deinner OrdóñezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank40Fricio CaicedoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank41Jhoanner ChávezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank42Willian PachoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank43Cristhian LoorPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44David CabezasPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank45Gonzalo VallePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank46Hernán GalíndezPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank47Moisés RamírezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.