Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Artilheiros do torneio · Ecuador

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

EcuadorP(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de Ecuador, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de Ecuador na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/ecu/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

47 jogadores no grupo

Rank1Kevin RodríguezPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)16.5%
Rank2Enner ValenciaPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)13.8%
Rank3Jordy CaicedoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank4John MercadoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%
Rank5Janner CorozoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%
Rank6Jeremy ArévaloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank7Anthony ValenciaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank8John YeboahPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%
Rank9Elías LegendrePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank10Leonardo CampanaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank11Nilson AnguloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank12Alan FrancoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank13Alan MindaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank14Kendry PáezPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank15Gonzalo PlataPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank16Pedro VitePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank17Jordy AlcívarPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank18Piero HincapiéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank19Denil CastilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank20Moisés CaicedoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank21Darwin GuaguaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank22Jhegson MéndezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank23Bruno CaicedoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank24Bryan RamírezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank25Ederson CastilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank26Luis FragozoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank27Malcom DacostaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank28Patrik MercadoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank29Yaimar MedinaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank30Jackson PorozoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank31Xavier ArreagaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank32Pervis EstupiñánPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank33Ángelo PreciadoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank34Joel OrdóñezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Félix TorresPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank36José HurtadoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank37Cristian RamírezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank38Leonardo RealpePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank39Deinner OrdóñezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Fricio CaicedoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank41Jhoanner ChávezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42Willian PachoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43Cristhian LoorPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank44David CabezasPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank45Gonzalo VallePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank46Hernán GalíndezPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Moisés RamírezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Como isso é calculado. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.