Goleadores del torneo · Croatia

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

CroatiaP(marca ≥1 gol)

Todos los jugadores del grupo de convocables actual de Croatia, ordenados por la probabilidad del modelo de que marquen al menos un gol en los partidos que dispute Croatia en el Mundial 2026. Ver /scorers/ para el top 50 global y /countries/cro/ para la plantilla predicha y el XI probable.

37 jugadores en el grupo

Rank1Ante BudimirPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)37.9%
Rank2Andrej KramarićPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)19.2%
Rank3Igor MatanovićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)13.4%
Rank4Petar MusaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.7%
Rank5Marco PašalićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%
Rank6Franjo IvanovićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%
Rank7Dion Drena BeljoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%
Rank8Mislav OršićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank9Ivan PerišićPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank10Mario PašalićPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%
Rank11Lovro MajerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%
Rank12Luka SučićPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%
Rank13Mateo KovačićPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank14Martin BaturinaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank15Petar SučićPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank16Nikola VlašićPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank17Kristijan JakićPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank18Luka ModrićPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank19Toni FrukPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank20Joško GvardiolPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank21Nikola MoroPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank22Luka StojkovićPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank23Luka VuškovićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank24Duje Ćaleta-CarPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank25Josip ŠutaloPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank26Josip StanišićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank27Ivan SmolčićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank28Josip JuranovićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank29Domagoj BradarićPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank30Marin PongračićPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31Martin ErlićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank32Borna SosaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33Dominik KotarskiPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank34Dominik LivakovićPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank35Ivica IvušićPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank36Ivor PandurPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Karlo LeticaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Cómo se calcula. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.