Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group D · Matchday 3

ParaguayvsAustralia

·19:00 local

Historial de enfrentamientos

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
9 Oct 2010FriendlyASydney01L
7 Oct 2006FriendlyABrisbane11D
15 Jun 2000FriendlyAMelbourne12L
12 Jun 2000FriendlyABrisbane00D
9 Jun 2000FriendlyASydney00D

Paraguay vs Australia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Paraguay's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Paraguay or Australia.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group D · Matchday 3

One side faces multiple key absences, while their opponents report a clean bill of health. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Paraguay win
    33.5%
  • Draw
    29.7%
  • Australia win
    36.8%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Paraguay #39 in the world; the model ranks them #20 in this tournament field, 19 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Paraguay v Australia plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Cómo se calcula. Todos los resultados del proceso de goles comparten un único ajuste Dixon-Coles. Ver metodología.

Datos al 2026-05-28