Pronóstico frente a resultado · Group L · Matchday 1

England vs Croatia

2026-06-17

El resumen se publica al pitido final. Cuando este partido termine, esta página mostrará cómo el pronóstico previo congelado se comportó frente al resultado real: Brier score, log loss y xG final frente a xG predicho. Hasta entonces, síguelo en vivo en el seguimiento en vivo.

Pre-match forecast

England win
56.7%
Draw
27.0%
Croatia win
16.3%
England
1.36
expected
goals
Croatia
0.75

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

England
8
Harry Kane12'–42'

Scored two crucial goals, including a penalty and a header, demonstrating his clinical finishing.

2goals1shots1on target1headers
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Match timeline

12'Harry Kane's initial penalty attempt is saved by the goalkeeper.
12'Harry Kane scores from the penalty spot on the retake, putting England ahead.
42'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
42'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
7
Jude Bellingham47'–47'

Scored England's third goal early in the second half, putting them ahead for good.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

47'Jude Bellingham scores early in the second half, putting England in front again.
7
Marcus Rashford85'–85'

Scored England's fourth goal, extending their lead and securing the victory.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

85'Marcus Rashford scores for England, extending their lead to 4-2.
6
Declan Rice52'–52'

Registered a strong shot on goal that tested the Croatian goalkeeper.

1shots1on target
▼

Match timeline

52'Declan Rice's shot is saved by the Croatian goalkeeper.
Croatia
7
Baturina36'–36'

Scored Croatia's first equalizer with a powerful and well-struck shot.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

36'Baturina scores for Croatia with a powerful shot, levelling the score.
7
Musa45'–45'

Scored Croatia's second equalizer just before half-time, keeping his team in the game.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

45'Musa scores for Croatia in added time of the first half, equalising once more.
7
Dominik Livakovic

Made several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a double save, despite his team conceding four goals.

Match observations

  • The match was played at Dallas Stadium.
  • England wore white kits, while Croatia wore blue.
  • England demonstrated effectiveness from set-pieces, scoring a penalty and a header from corners.
← Pronóstico previo al partidoSeguimiento en vivo →

Cómo leer esto. El Brier y el log-loss de un solo partido son ruidosos; lo que importa es cómo calibra el pronóstico a lo largo de muchos partidos. Este resumen por partido es una fila del marcador de calibración agregado en /docs/calibration/. La probabilidad previa al partido que se muestra aquí es la que se congeló antes del saque inicial; nunca se actualizó durante el juego.