Prévision vs résultat · Group L · Matchday 1

England vs Croatia

2026-06-17

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

England win
56.7%
Draw
27.0%
Croatia win
16.3%
England
1.36
expected
goals
Croatia
0.75

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

England
8
Harry Kane12'–42'

Scored two crucial goals, including a penalty and a header, demonstrating his clinical finishing.

2goals1shots1on target1headers
▼

Match timeline

12'Harry Kane's initial penalty attempt is saved by the goalkeeper.
12'Harry Kane scores from the penalty spot on the retake, putting England ahead.
42'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
42'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
7
Jude Bellingham47'–47'

Scored England's third goal early in the second half, putting them ahead for good.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

47'Jude Bellingham scores early in the second half, putting England in front again.
7
Marcus Rashford85'–85'

Scored England's fourth goal, extending their lead and securing the victory.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

85'Marcus Rashford scores for England, extending their lead to 4-2.
6
Declan Rice52'–52'

Registered a strong shot on goal that tested the Croatian goalkeeper.

1shots1on target
▼

Match timeline

52'Declan Rice's shot is saved by the Croatian goalkeeper.
Croatia
7
Baturina36'–36'

Scored Croatia's first equalizer with a powerful and well-struck shot.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

36'Baturina scores for Croatia with a powerful shot, levelling the score.
7
Musa45'–45'

Scored Croatia's second equalizer just before half-time, keeping his team in the game.

1goals
▼

Match timeline

45'Musa scores for Croatia in added time of the first half, equalising once more.
7
Dominik Livakovic

Made several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a double save, despite his team conceding four goals.

Match observations

  • The match was played at Dallas Stadium.
  • England wore white kits, while Croatia wore blue.
  • England demonstrated effectiveness from set-pieces, scoring a penalty and a header from corners.
← Prévision pré-matchSuivi en direct →

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.