Voorspelling versus resultaat · Group L · Matchday 1

England vs Croatia

2026-06-17

De terugblik verschijnt bij het laatste fluitsignaal. Zodra deze wedstrijd afgelopen is, toont deze pagina hoe de bevroren voorafvoorspelling hieronder scoorde tegen de werkelijke uitkomst: Brier score, log loss en uiteindelijk xG versus voorspeld xG. Tot die tijd kun je de wedstrijd live volgen op de live tracker.

Pre-match forecast

England win
56.7%
Draw
27.0%
Croatia win
16.3%
England
1.36
expected
goals
Croatia
0.75

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

England
8
Harry Kane12'–42'

Scored two crucial goals, including a penalty and a header, demonstrating his clinical finishing.

2goals1shots1on target1headers

Match timeline

12'Harry Kane's initial penalty attempt is saved by the goalkeeper.
12'Harry Kane scores from the penalty spot on the retake, putting England ahead.
42'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
42'Harry Kane scores with a header from a corner, restoring England's lead.
7
Jude Bellingham47'–47'

Scored England's third goal early in the second half, putting them ahead for good.

1goals

Match timeline

47'Jude Bellingham scores early in the second half, putting England in front again.
7
Marcus Rashford85'–85'

Scored England's fourth goal, extending their lead and securing the victory.

1goals

Match timeline

85'Marcus Rashford scores for England, extending their lead to 4-2.
6
Declan Rice52'–52'

Registered a strong shot on goal that tested the Croatian goalkeeper.

1shots1on target

Match timeline

52'Declan Rice's shot is saved by the Croatian goalkeeper.
Croatia
7
Baturina36'–36'

Scored Croatia's first equalizer with a powerful and well-struck shot.

1goals

Match timeline

36'Baturina scores for Croatia with a powerful shot, levelling the score.
7
Musa45'–45'

Scored Croatia's second equalizer just before half-time, keeping his team in the game.

1goals

Match timeline

45'Musa scores for Croatia in added time of the first half, equalising once more.
7
Dominik Livakovic

Made several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a double save, despite his team conceding four goals.

Match observations

  • The match was played at Dallas Stadium.
  • England wore white kits, while Croatia wore blue.
  • England demonstrated effectiveness from set-pieces, scoring a penalty and a header from corners.

Hoe lees je dit. De Brier en log-loss van een enkele wedstrijd zijn ruis: wat telt is hoe de voorspelling kalibreert over veel wedstrijden. Deze terugblik per wedstrijd is een rij van het geaggregeerde kalibratiescoreboard op /docs/calibration/. De voorafwaarschijnlijkheid die hier wordt getoond, is die bevroren voor aftrap; deze is nooit herberekend tijdens de wedstrijd.