公開の場で検証

15 Jun 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

4試合中4試合を採点済み
0
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
0
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
2
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
2
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均: Surprise result

  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    11
    • Belgium60.7%
    • 引き分け · 実現24.3%
    • Egypt15.0%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Belgium 1–1 Egypt was an outcome the model rated at 24.3% (24.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.964, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場を上回る結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Belgium
    8Thibaut CourtoisGKMade several important saves throughout the match, preventing Egypt from extending their lead.
    8Romelu LukakuSTMade an immediate and decisive impact by scoring the equalizing goal shortly after his introduction.
    7Youri TielemansCMWas a persistent offensive presence, registering multiple shots on target and actively trying to break down the defense.
    Egypt
    9Mostafa ShoubirGKDelivered an outstanding goalkeeping display, making numerous crucial saves to keep Egypt in the lead and secure the draw.
    8Emam AshourCMScored Egypt's opening goal with an impressive long-range strike, showcasing his offensive quality.
    6Mostafa ZicoLWContributed offensively with a shot on target and drew a yellow card for an opponent before being substituted.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    22
    • Iran63.0%
    • 引き分け · 実現24.5%
    • New Zealand12.5%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Iran 2–2 New Zealand was an outcome the model rated at 24.5% (24.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.982, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場が結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Iran
    8Ramin RezaeianRBScored a vital equalizer for Iran with a well-executed shot.
    8Mohammad MohebiLWScored the second equalizer for Iran with a crucial header, completing a comeback.
    8Alireza BeiranvandGKMade several crucial saves that prevented New Zealand from extending their lead or scoring more goals.
    New Zealand
    9Elijah JustRWScored two crucial goals, demonstrating clinical finishing and excellent positioning.
    7Max CrocombeGKMade vital saves for New Zealand, preventing Iran from scoring more than two goals.
    6Tim PayneCBPlayed for 77 minutes without any notable positive or negative contributions.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    00
    • Spain87.8%
    • 引き分け · 実現10.5%
    • Cape Verde1.8%
    判定
    Tough call

    Spain 0–0 Cape Verde was an outcome the model rated at 10.5% (10.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.572, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場を上回る結果により高い確率を与えた

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Spain
    7Marc CucurellaLBWas a constant threat down the left flank, delivering crosses and taking a shot on goal.
    7Aymeric LaporteCBWas a threat from set-pieces and long-range, and maintained defensive solidity.
    6Ferran TorresRWCreated several scoring opportunities and hit the woodwork but failed to convert any chances.
    Cape Verde
    9VozinhaGKHis exceptional goalkeeping performance was the primary reason Cape Verde secured a draw, making numerous crucial saves.
    8PicoCBMade a critical defensive intervention to prevent a late goal, showcasing strong defensive awareness.
    7Diney BorgesCBContributed to a strong defensive effort and had a late attacking opportunity.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    11
    • Saudi Arabia7.2%
    • 引き分け · 実現23.4%
    • Uruguay69.3%
    判定
    Surprise result

    Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay was an outcome the model rated at 23.4% (23.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.073, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場を上回る結果により高い確率を与えた

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Saudi Arabia
    9Mohammed Al-OwaisGKDelivered an outstanding performance with multiple crucial saves, single-handedly securing a point for Saudi Arabia.
    7Abdulelah Al-AmriCBScored Saudi Arabia's only goal from a set piece but was also booked for a challenge.
    6Al-ShabatRegistered a shot on goal but had no further notable impact on the match.
    Uruguay
    8Maxi AraújoLWScored the crucial equalizer and was a persistent threat in attack for Uruguay.
    7Fernando MusleraGKMade a crucial save to prevent Saudi Arabia from scoring earlier in the first half.
    6Federico ValverdeCMContributed to Uruguay's attack with a late shot but also committed a foul.

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Model report card — 15 Jun 2026 · onthepitch