Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group I · Matchday 3

FrancevsNorway

·15:00 local

Direktvergleich: Historie

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
27 May 2014FriendlyHSaint-Denis40W
11 Aug 2010FriendlyAOslo12L
25 Feb 1998FriendlyHMarseille33D
22 Jul 1995FriendlyAOslo00D
5 Sep 1989FIFA World Cup qualificationAOslo11D
28 Sep 1988FIFA World Cup qualificationHParis10W

France vs Norway, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from France's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral). See all 16 meetings →

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for France or Norway.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group I · Matchday 3

One side faces significant squad uncertainty, while the other is at full strength; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • France win
    57.7%
  • Draw
    23.9%
  • Norway win
    18.4%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Norway #29 in the world; the model ranks them #16 in this tournament field, 13 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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So wird das berechnet. Alle Torprozess-Ausgaben basieren auf einem gemeinsamen Dixon-Coles-Fit. Siehe Methodik.

Stand 2026-05-28