Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group A · Matchday 2

MexicovsSouth Korea

·19:00 local

Direktvergleich: Historie

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
9 Sep 2025FriendlyNNashville22D
14 Nov 2020FriendlyNWiener Neustadt32W
23 Jun 2018FIFA World CupNRostov-on-Don21W1.90.8
29 Jan 2014FriendlyNSan Antonio40W
15 Feb 2006FriendlyNLos Angeles01L
27 Jan 2002Gold CupNPasadena00(pens)L

Mexico vs South Korea, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Mexico's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral; xG where the upstream dataset covers the match). See all 14 meetings →

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Match conditions
Stage:
Group A · Matchday 2

Both sides face significant squad concerns, with several key players listed as doubtful for the upcoming match. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Mexico win
    43.9%
  • Draw
    27.9%
  • South Korea win
    28.2%

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Mexico v South Korea plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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So wird das berechnet. Alle Torprozess-Ausgaben basieren auf einem gemeinsamen Dixon-Coles-Fit. Siehe Methodik.

Stand 2026-05-28