Egypt

Snapshot · 2026-07-14Model 1.0.0

CAF·المجموعة G·FIFA #34

R16 contender

Pragmatic side missing Mohamed Salah through injury, with an Al Ahly-heavy spine.

منافس
Belgium (#8)
رئيسي
Mohamed Salah (FW)
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Final squad announced · Egypt · 2026-05-21

Source: Reddit — /r/worldcup ↗

WC2026 results

Record1W · 3D · 1L
Goals8:7 (+1)
Form
DateOpponentScoreResultVenue
Jun 15Belgium1–1DSeattle
Jun 21New Zealand3–1WVancouver
Jun 26Iran1–1DSeattle
Jul 3Australia1–1DDallas
Jul 7Argentina2–3LAtlanta
1

نظرة عامة على البطولة

Analysis

Egypt carry a 0.2% probability of winning the tournament (29th of 48). A key storyline is the fitness of Mohamed Salah — thigh problems, no expected return. Drawn in Group G alongside Belgium, Iran, New Zealand, they are projected at 67.8% to advance to the knockout stage.

How they play

Egypt under Hossam Hassan play a pragmatic game with 51% possession. They apply moderate pressing intensity (PPDA 21.8). They generate a high volume of shots (13.7 per 90).

Path to success

In Group G alongside Belgium, Iran, New Zealand, Egypt are projected at 67.8% to advance from the group stage. Qualification to the knockout rounds is the primary target. The round of 32 probability sits at 30.2%. The expanded 48-team format gives smaller federations more runway, and upsets in the group stage are a fixture of every World Cup.

What they must execute

Egypt play a pragmatic, results-oriented game that adapts shape to the opposition. Tactical flexibility is their strength. The risk is inconsistency — without a default identity, a poor result can cascade if the team struggles to find a Plan B. Managing the fitness of Mohamed Salah could prove decisive — their availability transforms the team's ceiling.

Controversial take

The model's assessment of Egypt broadly aligns with their FIFA ranking — no major disagreement between the two systems for this squad.

Key numbers

0.2%Win probability29th in field
1689Elo ratingRanked 51st globally
13.7Shots per 90top quartile (8th of 48)
27.3%Tournament goal probability — Omar MarmoushTop projected scorer in the squad (FW)
2.4 yearsManager tenureHossam Hassan
67.8%Group stage advance probabilityGroup G

How they play

Style vs the 48-team field

Pragmatic · style profile from 7 recent matches

Press
21.8
41
Build-up
6.8
69
Directness
6
39
Width (proxy)
431.3
46
Tempo
8.7
51
Set-piece reliance
17.3
83

What to watch: an above-average reliance on set pieces.

Percentiles position Egypt against the 48-team field. Higher means more of that trait, not better or worse. Press is inverted (lower PPDA = higher press); width uses crossing rate as a proxy; tempo is open-play passes per minute of possession. Descriptive style analytics; does not feed the published probabilities.

Group G finish · Egypt

Monte Carlo, 100,000 sims

Top two advance to the round of 32; best 8 of 12 third-placed teams also qualify.

  • 1st (group winner)
    Advances to R32
    14.4%
  • 2nd (runner-up)
    Advances to R32
    31.2%
  • 3rd
    Advances only if among the best 8 of 12 third-placed teams
    37.0%
  • 4th
    Eliminated
    17.4%

Stage progression · Egypt

, 100,000 sims
  1. 70.7%AdvAdvance from group
  2. 34.2%R16Round of 16
  3. 11.3%QFQuarter-final
  4. 3.1%SFSemi-final
  5. 0.9%FFinal
  6. 0.2%WinWin the tournament

Likely knockout path · Egypt

Monte Carlo, 10,000 sims

Most frequent opponents per round, conditional on reaching it.

R32

Round of 32

Canada16%
Switzerland12%
Australia11%

R16

Round of 16

Argentina22%
Portugal9%
Colombia8%

QF

Quarter-final

Argentina16%
Spain12%
Portugal10%

SF

Semi-final

Brazil13%
Morocco9%
Germany9%

F

Final

Spain13%
Argentina13%
Brazil9%
2

التشكيلة

Confirmed squad

Model-predicted · snapshot 2026-05-28

Roster confirmed by the federation's official squad announcement. The XI/bench split below is the model's composite-rating ordering, not the head coach's lineup.

Goalkeepers (1)
PlayerStat
GK
Mohamed El ShenawyCaps-driven↗Al Ahly
75c—0.62
Defenders (4)
PlayerStat
DF
Ramy RabiaCaps-drivenAl Ain
43c—0.33
DF
Mohamed HanyCaps-driven↘Al Ahly
40c—0.44
DF
Ahmed Abou El FotouhCaps-driven↘Zamalek
38c—0.27
DF
Mohamed AbdelmonemCaps-driven↘Nice
34c—0.20
Midfielders (3)
PlayerStat
MF
Hamdy FathyCaps-drivenAl-Wakrah
62c1assists0.44
MF
Marwan AttiaCaps-drivenAl Ahly
32c4assists0.44
MF
Emam AshourCaps-driven→Al Ahly
27c5assists0.40
Forwards (3)
PlayerStat
FW
Mohamed SalahCaps-driven↘Liverpool
116c67goals0.74
FW
Omar Marmoush↗Manchester City
47c11goals0.92
FW
ZizoCaps-driven→Al Ahly
61c5goals0.52
Bench

★ likely first sub badge on the top-3 by first-sub score within each position group, plus a late-game impact rating where club per-90 stats are available.

Goalkeepers (3)
PlayerStat
GK
Mostafa ShobeirRating-drivenAl Ahly★ Likely first sub
7c—0.38
GK
Mohamed AlaaEl Gouna★ Likely first sub
0c—0.00
GK
El Mahdy SolimanZamalek★ Likely first sub
0c—0.00
Defenders (4)
PlayerStat
DF
Yasser IbrahimAl Ahly★ Likely first sub
15c—0.27
DF
Hossam AbdelmaguidCaps-drivenZamalek★ Likely first sub
12c—0.14
DF
Karim HafezCaps-drivenPyramids★ Likely first sub
7c—0.00
DF
Tarek AlaaCaps-drivenZED
1c—0.00
Midfielders (4)
PlayerStat
MF
Mohanad LasheenCaps-drivenPyramids★ Likely first sub
21c0assists0.36
MF
DongaRating-drivenAl-Najma★ Likely first sub
11c0assists0.34
MF
Mahmoud SaberCaps-drivenZED★ Likely first sub
14c0assists0.13
MF
Mostafa ZikoPyramids
0c—0.00
Forwards (4)
PlayerStat
FW
TrézéguetCaps-driven↘Al Ahly★ Likely first subimpact 58/100
94c23goals0.33
FW
Ibrahim AdelNordsjælland★ Likely first sub
22c3goals0.39
FW
Haissem HassanCaps-drivenOviedo★ Likely first sub
2c0goals0.00
FW
Aqtay AbdallahENPPI
0c0goals0.00
▸How to read this squad— 4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Caps
Senior international appearances. Used by the model as a recency-weighted signal of how often the manager calls the player up.
Stat
Position-aware stat: career international goals for forwards; career international assists for midfielders (Transfermarkt); latest available Big-5 club season's total tackles for defenders (FBref); latest available Big-5 club season's save percentage for goalkeepers (FBref). Em-dash when no data is joined — most often for defenders and keepers at non-Big-5 clubs.
Rating
Composite rating (Model #4) — combines recent caps + goals, recent club xG and xAG per 90, position-relative quality, and call-up priors. Higher = the model thinks the player is more likely to start. Typically 0.9 (depth) to 2.5 (elite).
★ Likely first sub — the bench player the model rates most likely to be the first substitute for their position. Computed from a first-sub score (cap-recency + impact rating); ties broken by Rating.

Selection driver — coloured chips show which input dominates a player's selection score. Caps-driven = selected mainly on international experience. Rating-driven = selected mainly on club performance quality. Jersey-boosted = jersey number from a recent squad snapshot lifted their score. Goals-driven = international goal record was the decisive factor. No chip when the score is a balanced blend.

Squad cohesion

Projected XI · club overlap

Low coverage: 4/11 of the projected XI have club-minutes rows in our ratings table. Numbers below are structurally suppressed and should be read alongside the resolved count, not in isolation.

Pairwise club minutes
0.00%
Share of the 55-pair × 3000-minute ceiling. Higher = more of the XI plays together at club level.
Club concentration
0.250
How concentrated the XI is across clubs. 0.091 = 11 different clubs · 1.000 = all the same club.
Top-3 clubs share
75%
3 of 4 play for the three most common clubs in the XI.

Top clubs in projected XI

  • Nice1
  • Arsenal1
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1

Descriptive metric — does not feed the published probabilities. Methodology →

Squad depth

Projected XI · replaceability

Most irreplaceable starters

  1. Omar MarmoushStrikerLikely cover: no natural backupreplacement-level ST ~0.240.69gap to repl.
  2. Mohamed SalahWingerLikely cover: Ibrahim Adel · 0.39Nordsjælland0.35gap to repl.
  3. Emam AshourCentral midfieldLikely cover: Mahmoud Saber · 0.13ZED0.26gap to repl.

Gap to repl. = how far this nation's rating at the position falls from the starter to his likely in-squad replacement (named above). Larger = harder to replace.

Descriptive metric — does not feed the published probabilities. Methodology →

3

جدول المجموعة

Group-stage schedule

MDDateOpponentVenue
1Jun 15, 2026BelgiumSeattle, United States
2Jun 21, 2026New ZealandVancouver, Canada
3Jun 26, 2026IranSeattle, United States

المواجهات المباشرة

هدّافو Egypt المتوقعون →

4

قصص

Storylines

Updated 49 days ago
Out injuredMohamed Salah

Thigh problems, no expected return. Composite 0.96 — would have been a likely starter.

Club core

5 of 23 predicted-squad players play their club football for Al Ahly — a single-club spine on the international side.

Teen starterwp-hamza-abdelkarim-2008-01-01

18 at kickoff — 0 caps — projected on the bench, the squad's youngest pick.

League pedigree

Only 2 of 23 predicted-squad players played in a top-5 European league last season — the rest play home or in non-top-5 leagues.

5

الحالة والسجل

Video analysis: Egypt

Performance data from official highlights analysis across 5 matches. 24 players observed, 13 events tracked.

9
TrézéguetStandout performer

Scored two crucial goals and consistently posed an offensive threat with powerful shots and dribbling.

2 goals
5
Goals
2
Shots
2
Saves
2
Blocks
1
Fouls won
0
Cards
Rating spread(34 ratings)
8+ (10)7 (6)6 (11)5- (7)

Match by match

gs-013
1 goal
gs-038
2 goals
gs-062
2 goals2 shots
r16-007
r32-016

Player ratings (24)

9
Trézéguet1 app · 4 events
2 goals2 shots (1 on target)
9
▼

Scored two crucial goals and consistently posed an offensive threat with powerful shots and dribbling.

gs-0629Scored two crucial goals and consistently posed an offensive threat with powerful shots and dribbling.
9
Mostafa Shoubir1 app
9
▼

Delivered an outstanding goalkeeping display, making numerous crucial saves to keep Egypt in the lead and secure the draw.

gs-0139Delivered an outstanding goalkeeping display, making numerous crucial saves to keep Egypt in the lead and secure the draw.
8
Emam Ashour2 apps · 1 events
1 goal
88
▼

Scored Egypt's opening goal with an impressive long-range strike, showcasing his offensive quality.

gs-0138Scored Egypt's opening goal with an impressive long-range strike, showcasing his offensive quality.
r32-0168Scored Egypt's opening goal with a header and had another shot on target, proving a significant offensive threat.
7.7
Mostafa Shobeir3 apps · 3 events
2 saves
698
▼

Made a vital penalty save but also mishandled a ball leading to a disallowed goal, balancing his performance.

gs-0626Made a vital penalty save but also mishandled a ball leading to a disallowed goal, balancing his performance.
r16-0079Made several outstanding saves, including a crucial penalty stop against Messi, demonstrating excellent reflexes and keeping Egypt competitive.
r32-0168Made several important saves from Australian shots, contributing significantly to Egypt's defensive effort and keeping them in the game.
7.3
Omar Marmoush3 apps
697
▼

Was active in attack, registering several shots on target, but was consistently denied by the opposing goalkeeper.

gs-0136Was active in attack, registering several shots on target, but was consistently denied by the opposing goalkeeper.
gs-0389Scored two crucial goals with clinical finishing, putting Egypt back in the lead twice.
r32-0167Was a constant threat in attack with multiple shots and dangerous dribbles, creating chances for Egypt.
7
Mohanad Lasheen1 app · 1 events
1 block
7
▼

Made a vital defensive block to prevent a goal during a dangerous Iranian attack.

gs-0627Made a vital defensive block to prevent a goal during a dangerous Iranian attack.
7
Sentolan1 app · 1 events
1 block
7
▼

Made a critical defensive block from an Iranian corner, clearing the danger.

gs-0627Made a critical defensive block from an Iranian corner, clearing the danger.
7
Mostafa Zico2 apps
68
▼

Contributed offensively with a shot on target and drew a yellow card for an opponent before being substituted.

gs-0136Contributed offensively with a shot on target and drew a yellow card for an opponent before being substituted.
r16-0078Extended Egypt's lead with a clinical finish, contributing significantly to their strong start.
7
Hassan1 app
7
▼

Showcased good dribbling skill and clinical finishing for a goal that was ultimately disallowed, indicating his attacking threat.

r16-0077Showcased good dribbling skill and clinical finishing for a goal that was ultimately disallowed, indicating his attacking threat.
7
Hossam Abdelmaguid1 app
7
▼

Came on as a substitute and scored the decisive penalty to win the shootout for Egypt with composure.

r32-0167Came on as a substitute and scored the decisive penalty to win the shootout for Egypt with composure.
6.7
Mohamed Salah3 apps · 3 events
2 goals1 fouls won
596
▼

Despite his reputation, he had a very quiet game with no direct attacking contributions before being substituted.

gs-0135Despite his reputation, he had a very quiet game with no direct attacking contributions before being substituted.
gs-0389Delivered a standout offensive display with a powerful long-range goal and a composed penalty conversion.
r16-0076Had a good opportunity on the counter-attack, testing the Argentina goalkeeper, but did not convert or have further significant impact.
6.5
Ramy Rabia2 apps
67
▼

Came on as a substitute and had one shot wide, but no other significant contributions.

gs-0136Came on as a substitute and had one shot wide, but no other significant contributions.
r32-0167Made a crucial defensive intervention and contributed to set-piece attacks.
6.5
Yasser Ibrahim2 apps
85
▼

Opened the scoring for Egypt with a well-placed header, demonstrating good aerial ability.

r16-0078Opened the scoring for Egypt with a well-placed header, demonstrating good aerial ability.
r32-0165Received a yellow card for arguing late in extra time.
6
Hamza Abdelkarim1 app
6
▼

Came on as a substitute but had no specific actions mentioned in the match events.

gs-0136Came on as a substitute but had no specific actions mentioned in the match events.
6
Mostafa Zizo1 app
6
▼

Came on as a late substitute but had no specific actions mentioned in the match events.

gs-0136Came on as a late substitute but had no specific actions mentioned in the match events.
6
Hamdy Fathy1 app
6
▼

Played for 66 minutes without any notable positive or negative contributions.

r32-0166Played for 66 minutes without any notable positive or negative contributions.
6
Karim Hafez1 app
6
▼

Played for 79 minutes without any notable positive or negative contributions.

r32-0166Played for 79 minutes without any notable positive or negative contributions.
6
Marwan Attia1 app
6
▼

Played for the entire match and was substituted just before the penalty shootout.

r32-0166Played for the entire match and was substituted just before the penalty shootout.
6
Mahmoud Saber1 app
6
▼

Came on as a substitute just before the penalty shootout.

r32-0166Came on as a substitute just before the penalty shootout.
5
Mohamed Toure1 app
5
▼

Came on as a substitute but only notable action was committing a foul late in the game.

r32-0165Came on as a substitute but only notable action was committing a foul late in the game.
5
Trezeguet1 app
5
▼

Came on as a substitute but received a yellow card shortly after for a foul.

r32-0165Came on as a substitute but received a yellow card shortly after for a foul.
5
Haissem Hassan1 app
5
▼

Committed a foul and received a yellow card in extra time.

r32-0165Committed a foul and received a yellow card in extra time.
4
Ahmed Fatouh1 app
4
▼

Received an early yellow card for a foul and had no other notable positive contributions.

gs-0134Received an early yellow card for a foul and had no other notable positive contributions.
4
Mohamed Hany1 app
4
▼

Unfortunately scored an own goal, deflecting a free-kick into his own net, which led to Australia's equalizer.

r32-0164Unfortunately scored an own goal, deflecting a free-kick into his own net, which led to Australia's equalizer.

Match observations

  • gs-013The match was a competitive encounter, ending in a 1-1 draw with both teams finding the net.
  • gs-013Egypt took the lead in the first half with a well-placed shot, while Belgium equalized in the second half shortly after a key substitution.
  • gs-013Both sides had numerous attempts at goal, with goalkeepers on both ends making significant saves to keep the score level.
  • gs-038This was a high-scoring and dynamic encounter, with both teams showcasing their attacking prowess.
  • gs-038Egypt established an early lead with two well-taken goals, but New Zealand displayed resilience to draw level.
  • gs-038The match featured several momentum swings, keeping the contest exciting until Egypt ultimately secured the victory.
  • gs-062Iran secured a convincing victory over Jordan in this World Cup Qualifier match, maintaining a comfortable lead throughout the highlights.
  • gs-062Their offensive strategy, featuring strong drives to the basket and effective three-point shooting, proved difficult for Jordan to contain.
  • gs-062The home crowd provided a lively atmosphere, but it was not enough to shift the momentum decisively in Jordan's favour.
  • r16-007The match in Atlanta was a dramatic encounter, with Egypt initially taking a surprising two-goal lead.
  • r16-007Argentina, however, mounted a spirited comeback, eventually securing a narrow victory.
  • r16-007The game featured crucial saves, a missed penalty, and a flurry of goals, keeping the outcome uncertain until the final moments.
  • r32-016This was a dramatic Round of 32 knockout match that saw Egypt secure a historic victory against Australia after a penalty shootout.
  • r32-016Egypt took an early lead from a set-piece, but Australia fought back to equalize with an own goal in the second half.
  • r32-016Both goalkeepers delivered outstanding performances, making numerous crucial saves to keep their teams in contention through regular and extra time.

Statistical profile

Pragmatic

Attack

Attack rating0.6032nd/48
Shots per match13.78th/48
Chance quality0.13712th/48

Defence

Defence rating0.8128th/48
Goalkeeper rating0.5321st/48

GK: Mohamed El Shenawy

Set pieces

Set-piece goal share17.3%7th/48
Penalty conversion75.0%7th/48
Penalty save rate27.5%6th/48

Style

Possession51.1%20th/48
Press intensity21.824th/48
Directness6.025th/48
Crossing volume431.322nd/48
Long ball volume33.026th/48
Build-up length6.813th/48

Squad

Avg. minutes per starter1,76217th/48
Club familiarity0.00026th/48

Workload class: light

Attack and defence ratings from the model; style metrics from recent international matches; penalty rates via Bayesian estimation; goalkeeper rating from shot-prevention data. Rank is out of 48 tournament teams.

Where goals come from

Phase of play · scored & conceded

Scored9 goals · 102 shots
Conceded12 goals · 79 shots
  • Open play
  • Set piece
  • Counter
  • Penalty

Share of goals by how the chance began, across 7 matches (AFCON2023,WC2018). Shoot-out kicks are excluded. Descriptive metric — does not feed the published probabilities. Methodology →

Group-stage matchups

vs Belgium2026-06-15
Win10.2%
Draw25.7%
Loss64.0%
Expected goals for0.68
Expected goals against1.44
Likeliest score1-0 (16.6%)
Both teams score38.3%
Clean sheet23.8%
Full fixture analysis →
vs New Zealand2026-06-21
Win61.0%
Draw29.2%
Loss9.8%
Expected goals for1.29
Expected goals against0.46
Likeliest score1-0 (21.8%)
Both teams score27.3%
Clean sheet63.2%
Full fixture analysis →
vs Iran2026-06-26
Win27.7%
Draw32.9%
Loss39.4%
Expected goals for0.78
Expected goals against0.88
Likeliest score0-0 (19.8%)
Both teams score32.6%
Clean sheet41.6%
Full fixture analysis →

Probabilities from the calibrated ensemble model. xG from the Dixon–Coles fit. See each fixture page for full analysis.

Rating & probability history

12 snapshots · 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-24
Egypt — Elo and tournament-winner probability over 12 snapshotsEgypt trajectory: 12 snapshots between 2026-05-22 and 2026-06-24 (33 days). Elo moved from 1689.0 to 1689.0 (0). Tournament-winner probability moved from 0.1% to 0.4% (+0.2pp).Elo rating16791686169216992026-05-22 · Elo 1689.02026-06-06 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-06 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-07 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-07 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-07 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-08 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-08 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-10 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-10 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-23 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-24 · Elo 1689.0 (0 vs prior)Tournament-winner probability0.0%0.4%0.8%1.3%2026-05-22 · 0.1% (CI <0.1%–0.2%)2026-06-06 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (+0.1pp vs prior)2026-06-06 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-07 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-07 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-07 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-08 · <0.1% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (−0.1pp vs prior)2026-06-08 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (+0.1pp vs prior)2026-06-10 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-10 · 0.2% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-23 · 0.5% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (+0.3pp vs prior)2026-06-24 · 0.4% (CI 0.1%–0.5%) (−0.1pp vs prior)snapshot date (2026-05-22 → 2026-06-24)

Egypt trajectory: 12 snapshots between 2026-05-22 and 2026-06-24 (33 days). Elo moved from 1689.0 to 1689.0 (0). Tournament-winner probability moved from 0.1% to 0.4% (+0.2pp).

Each point is one model build. The shaded band is the bootstrap 90% credible interval around the tournament-winner probability.

Recent form (10 matches)

Record5W · 3D · 2L
Goals13–8
Form
DateOpponentScoreResultCompetition
2026-03-31ASpain0–0DFriendly
2026-03-27ASaudi Arabia4–0WFriendly
2026-01-17NNigeria0–0DAfrican Cup of Nations
2026-01-14NSenegal0–1LAfrican Cup of Nations
2026-01-10NIvory Coast3–2WAfrican Cup of Nations
2026-01-05NBenin3–1WAfrican Cup of Nations
2025-12-29NAngola0–0DAfrican Cup of Nations
2025-12-26NSouth Africa1–0WAfrican Cup of Nations
2025-12-22NZimbabwe2–1WAfrican Cup of Nations
2025-12-09NJordan0–3LArab Cup

martj42 international results (CC0) · last 10 matches · ~2 years.

Head-to-head vs group opponents

OpponentMeetingsW-D-LLast meeting
Belgium53-1-12026 — Draw (1–1) · FIFA World Cup
New Zealand43-1-02026 — Win (3–1) · FIFA World Cup
Iran11-0-02000 — Win (1–1) · Friendly

All meetings via the martj42 international results dataset.

Major tournaments — most recent appearance

TournamentYearFinishW-D-LSince then
African Cup of Nations20264 matches2-1-1
  • Same head coach (Hossam Hassan) since 2024
  • 7/12 of current pool (58%) were active that year
FIFA World Cup2018Group stage0-0-3
  • New head coach since then — now Hossam Hassan (appointed 2024)
  • 3/12 of current pool (25%) were active that year

Source: FIFA archives. Penalty outcomes resolved to W/L.

Most similar past team-tournaments

Closest comparable teams from past major tournaments (1990-2024), by squad strength, group draw, and recent form. Shown for context, not a prediction.

  • Morocco · Afcon 2017

    Exited at the quarter-final

    Comparable pre-tournament strength (Elo 1670) and group draw.

  • Algeria · Afcon 2015

    Exited at the quarter-final

  • Tunisia · Afcon 2000

    Finished third

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