Artilheiros do torneio · Portugal

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

PortugalP(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de Portugal, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de Portugal na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/por/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

37 jogadores no grupo

Rank1Cristiano RonaldoPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)43.1%
Rank2Gonçalo RamosPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)16.4%
Rank3João FélixPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)15.5%
Rank4Rafael LeãoPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.6%
Rank5Francisco ConceiçãoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.9%
Rank6PaulinhoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank7Francisco TrincãoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank8Pedro NetoPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank9Pedro GonçalvesPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank10Carlos ForbsPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank11Ricardo HortaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank12Bruno FernandesPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank13Rodrigo MoraPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.6%
Rank14João NevesPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank15Gonçalo GuedesPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%
Rank16VitinhaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank17Nuno MendesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank18João PalhinhaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank19Rúben NevesPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank20Bernardo SilvaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank21Samú CostaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank22João CanceloPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank23Mateus FernandesPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank24Diogo DalotPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank25Gonçalo InácioPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Nélson SemedoPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank27António SilvaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank28Nuno TavaresPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank29Rúben DiasPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank30Tomás AraújoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31Renato VeigaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank32Matheus NunesPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank33Diogo CostaPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank34João CarvalhoPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank35José SáPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank36Ricardo VelhoPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Rui SilvaPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Como isso é calculado. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.