Spain — P(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de Spain, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de Spain na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/esp/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

44 jogadores no grupo

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Mikel OyarzabalPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)48.0%

Rank2Ferran TorresPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)27.8%

Rank3Lamine YamalPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)25.3%

Rank4Álvaro MorataPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)18.1%

Rank5Nico WilliamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)13.8%

Rank6Yéremy PinoPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.2%

Rank7Borja IglesiasPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.9%

Rank8Mikel MerinoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%

Rank9Jorge de FrutosPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)9.6%

Rank10Dani OlmoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.9%

Rank11Víctor MuñozPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%

Rank12Jesús RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%

Rank13Álex BaenaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank14Samu AghehowaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank15Fermín LópezPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%

Rank16Ander BarrenetxeaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank17RodriPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%

Rank18IscoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%

Rank19PedriPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank20Fabián RuizPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%

Rank21Martín ZubimendiPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%

Rank22Pablo FornalsPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank23Álex GrimaldoPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank24Carlos SolerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank25Aleix GarcíaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank26Eric GarcíaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank27Pablo BarriosPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank28GaviPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank29Marc CucurellaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank30Aymeric LaportePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank31Dean HuijsenPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank32Pedro PorroPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank33Marcos LlorentePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank34Dani VivianPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank35Robin Le NormandPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank36Dani CarvajalPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank37Marc PubillPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank38Óscar MinguezaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank39Pau CubarsíPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank40Cristhian MosqueraPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank41Álex RemiroPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42David RayaPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank43Joan GarciaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44Unai SimónPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.