هدّافو البطولة · Spain

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

SpainP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Spain الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Spain في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/esp/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

44 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Mikel OyarzabalPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)48.0%
Rank2Ferran TorresPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)27.8%
Rank3Lamine YamalPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)25.3%
Rank4Álvaro MorataPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)18.1%
Rank5Nico WilliamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)13.8%
Rank6Yéremy PinoPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.2%
Rank7Borja IglesiasPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.9%
Rank8Mikel MerinoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%
Rank9Jorge de FrutosPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)9.6%
Rank10Dani OlmoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.9%
Rank11Víctor MuñozPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank12Jesús RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%
Rank13Álex BaenaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%
Rank14Samu AghehowaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%
Rank15Fermín LópezPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank16Ander BarrenetxeaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank17RodriPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank18IscoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%
Rank19PedriPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank20Fabián RuizPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank21Martín ZubimendiPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank22Pablo FornalsPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank23Álex GrimaldoPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank24Carlos SolerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank25Aleix GarcíaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank26Eric GarcíaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank27Pablo BarriosPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank28GaviPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank29Marc CucurellaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank30Aymeric LaportePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank31Dean HuijsenPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank32Pedro PorroPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank33Marcos LlorentePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank34Dani VivianPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Robin Le NormandPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank36Dani CarvajalPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Marc PubillPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank38Óscar MinguezaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank39Pau CubarsíPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40Cristhian MosqueraPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank41Álex RemiroPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42David RayaPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank43Joan GarciaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank44Unai SimónPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.