Artilheiros do torneio · Austria

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

AustriaP(marca 1 ou mais gols)

Todos os jogadores no grupo de convocáveis de Austria, ordenados pela probabilidade do modelo de que marquem pelo menos um gol nos jogos de Austria na Copa do Mundo 2026. Veja /scorers/ para o top 50 global e /countries/aut/ para o elenco previsto e o provável XI.

42 jogadores no grupo

Rank1Marcel SabitzerPKPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)24.7%
Rank2Marko ArnautovićPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.8%
Rank3Michael GregoritschPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.7%
Rank4Christoph BaumgartnerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.8%
Rank5Andreas WeimannPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank6Saša KalajdžićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank7Raul FloruczPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%
Rank8Nikolaus WurmbrandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank9Mathias HonsakPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank10Romano SchmidPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank11Patrick WimmerPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank12Konrad LaimerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank13Carney ChukwuemekaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank14Marco GrüllPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank15Nicolas SeiwaldPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank16Paul WannerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank17Xaver SchlagerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank18Florian GrillitschPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank19Alessandro SchöpfPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank20Alexander PrassPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank21Thierno BalloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank22Stefan PoschPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank23David AlabaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank24Philipp LienhartPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank25Maximilian WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Kevin DansoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank27Samson BaidooPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank28Leopold QuerfeldPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank29Max WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank30Gernot TraunerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31Phillipp MwenePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank32David AffengruberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33Nikolas VeratschnigPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank34Marco FriedlPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank35Michael SvobodaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank36Alexander SchlagerPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Florian WiegelePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Nicolas KristofPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Nicolas SchmidPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Nikolas PolsterPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Patrick PentzPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Tobias LawalPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Como isso é calculado. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.