Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

هدّافو البطولة · Austria

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

AustriaP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Austria الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Austria في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/aut/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

42 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Marcel SabitzerPKPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)24.3%
Rank2Marko ArnautovićPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)15.1%
Rank3Michael GregoritschPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%
Rank4Andreas WeimannPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank5Saša KalajdžićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank6Christoph BaumgartnerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank7Raul FloruczPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank8Nikolaus WurmbrandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank9Patrick WimmerPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)3.6%
Rank10Mathias HonsakPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank11Romano SchmidPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank12Marco GrüllPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank13Konrad LaimerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank14Paul WannerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank15Florian GrillitschPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank16Alessandro SchöpfPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank17Carney ChukwuemekaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank18Thierno BalloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank19Xaver SchlagerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank20David AlabaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank21Alexander PrassPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank22Maximilian WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank23Nicolas SeiwaldPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank24Kevin DansoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank25Stefan PoschPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Leopold QuerfeldPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank27Max WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank28Gernot TraunerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank29Philipp LienhartPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank30Phillipp MwenePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31David AffengruberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank32Samson BaidooPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33Nikolas VeratschnigPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank34Michael SvobodaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank35Marco FriedlPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank36Alexander SchlagerPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Florian WiegelePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Nicolas KristofPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Nicolas SchmidPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Nikolas PolsterPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Patrick PentzPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Tobias LawalPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.