Medido em público

23 Jun 2026

Cada probabilidade abaixo foi publicada antes do início e travada. Esta página avalia cada uma em relação ao que realmente aconteceu.

4 de 4 jogos avaliados
3
Acertou em cheio
Alta confiança, resultado certo
0
Boa leitura
Deu a maior probabilidade ao que aconteceu
0
Esperado
O resultado ficou dentro da faixa
1
Surpresa
O modelo não previu isso

Média do dia: Strong read

  • PortugalvsUzbekistan
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    5 – 0
    • Portugal · realizado71.7%
    • Empate20.4%
    • Uzbekistan7.9%
    Veredito
    Nailed it

    Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan was the outcome the model rated most likely (71.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.128, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Portugal
    9RonaldoSTScored multiple goals, demonstrating clinical finishing and leading the attack for Portugal.
    Uzbekistan
    3NemotovGKConceded multiple goals and scored an unfortunate own goal under immense pressure from the opposition.
  • DR CongovsColombia
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    0 – 1
    • DR Congo7.1%
    • Empate22.0%
    • Colombia · realizado70.9%
    Veredito
    Nailed it

    DR Congo 0–1 Colombia was the outcome the model rated most likely (70.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.138, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    DR Congo
    8WissaLWScored the vital equalizing goal for Congo DR with a composed and clinical finish.
    8Congo DR GoalkeeperGKMade several crucial saves in the second half, including from Cancelo and Bruno Fernandes, to secure the draw for Congo DR.
    7BakambuSTCreated numerous scoring opportunities and showed good movement, but was ultimately unlucky not to convert.
    Colombia
    8João NevesCMScored the opening goal for Portugal with excellent positioning and a well-placed header.
    7CanceloLBShowed good attacking intent from left-back, forcing a save from the opposition goalkeeper.
    7Bruno FernandesAMUnleashed a powerful shot from distance that tested the goalkeeper, showcasing his offensive threat.
  • EnglandvsGhana
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    0 – 0
    • England79.2%
    • Empate · realizado16.8%
    • Ghana4.0%
    Veredito
    Surprise result

    England 0–0 Ghana was an outcome the model rated at 16.8% (16.8% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.322, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    England
    9Harry KaneSTKane was England's primary goal threat, scoring two crucial goals including a penalty and a header, demonstrating clinical finishing and leadership.
    8Jude BellinghamCMBellingham scored a crucial goal late in the game, demonstrating his attacking presence and ability to make incisive runs into dangerous areas.
    8Marcus RashfordLWRashford scored England's fourth goal with a decisive individual effort after a skillful run, sealing the victory for his team.
    Ghana
    8BaturinaAMBaturina scored a crucial equalizer for Croatia with a powerful and accurate shot, demonstrating his offensive capabilities.
    8MusaSTMusa scored Croatia's second equalizer by reacting quickly to a rebound, showcasing his anticipation and clinical finishing in the box.
    8LivakovicGKLivakovic made several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a remarkable double save, which kept Croatia in the match despite the final score.
  • CroatiavsPanama
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    1 – 0
    • Croatia · realizado69.4%
    • Empate19.8%
    • Panama10.8%
    Veredito
    Nailed it

    Croatia 1–0 Panama was the outcome the model rated most likely (69.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.145, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Croatia
    7DigneLBProvided a solid defensive performance, making crucial tackles and supporting the attack from the left flank.
    7BrahimRWAn influential winger who used his good dribbling skills to create attacking opportunities and pose a threat to the opponent's defense.
    6EndrickSTAn active forward who contributed to both offensive pressure and defensive recovery, including creating a shooting opportunity.
    Panama
    8Jacobo RamónCBA strong defensive presence who made vital interventions, including key tackles inside the box, to protect his team's goal.
    7BeckhamCMA diligent midfielder who contributed significantly to rellll's defensive efforts with several effective tackles.

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Model report card — 23 Jun 2026 · onthepitch