Colombia

Snapshot · 2026-07-14Model 1.0.0

CONMEBOL·Grupo K·FIFA #13

Top-8 contender

Pragmatic side led by Luis Díaz, with David Ospina in goal.

Rival
Portugal (#6)
Destaque
James Rodríguez (MF)
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Final squad announced · Colombia · 2026-05-30

Source: Diario AS ↗

WC2026 results

Record3W · 2D · 0L
Goals5:1 (+4)
Form
DateOpponentScoreResultVenue
Jun 17Uzbekistan3–1WMexico City
Jun 23DR Congo1–0WZapopan
Jun 27Portugal0–0DMiami Gardens
Jul 4Ghana1–0WKansas City
Jul 7Switzerland0–0DVancouver
1

Panorama do torneio

Analysis

Colombia are rated at 4.4% to win the tournament, placing them 8th in the field. This is a landmark tournament for the team — 7 caps for the senior side, 27 at kickoff. Drawn in Group K alongside Portugal, Uzbekistan, DR Congo, they are projected at 95.3% to advance to the knockout stage.

How they play

Colombia under Néstor Lorenzo play a pragmatic game with 53% possession. They apply moderate pressing intensity (PPDA 18.9).

Path to success

Their route begins in Group K with Portugal, Uzbekistan, DR Congo, where the model projects a 43.3% chance of finishing top and 95.3% of advancing. From there the projected knockout path runs: round of 32 (60.8%), quarter-finals (34.8%), semi-finals (18.4%), the final (9.5%). Sustaining intensity through up to seven matches across three host countries will demand squad depth and adaptability.

What they must execute

Colombia play a pragmatic, results-oriented game that adapts shape to the opposition. Tactical flexibility is their strength. The risk is inconsistency — without a default identity, a poor result can cascade if the team struggles to find a Plan B.

Controversial take

The model rates Colombia slightly higher than their FIFA ranking implies (a gap of 1.1 percentage points) — a modest divergence but one that reflects differences in how the two systems weight recent form.

Key numbers

4.4%Win probability8th in field
1975Elo ratingRanked 7th globally
18.9PPDA (press intensity)Lower = more pressing; 13th of 48
37.3%Tournament goal probability — James RodríguezTop projected scorer in the squad (MF)
4.4 yearsManager tenureNéstor Lorenzo
95.3%Group stage advance probabilityGroup K

How they play

Style vs the 48-team field

Pragmatic · style profile from 10 recent matches

Press
18.9
69
Build-up
6.2
49
Directness
6.6
56
Width (proxy)
437.5
54
Tempo
8.3
31
Set-piece reliance
12.4
41

What to watch: a slower tempo, holding and recycling possession.

Percentiles position Colombia against the 48-team field. Higher means more of that trait, not better or worse. Press is inverted (lower PPDA = higher press); width uses crossing rate as a proxy; tempo is open-play passes per minute of possession. Descriptive style analytics; does not feed the published probabilities.

Group K finish · Colombia

Monte Carlo, 100,000 sims

Top two advance to the round of 32; best 8 of 12 third-placed teams also qualify.

  • 1st (group winner)
    Advances to R32
    40.9%
  • 2nd (runner-up)
    Advances to R32
    41.2%
  • 3rd
    Advances only if among the best 8 of 12 third-placed teams
    13.5%
  • 4th
    Eliminated
    4.3%

Stage progression · Colombia

, 100,000 sims
  1. 92.3%AdvAdvance from group
  2. 60.4%R16Round of 16
  3. 34.7%QFQuarter-final
  4. 18.3%SFSemi-final
  5. 9.1%FFinal
  6. 4.0%WinWin the tournament

Likely knockout path · Colombia

Monte Carlo, 10,000 sims

Most frequent opponents per round, conditional on reaching it.

R32

Round of 32

Croatia29%
England22%
Panama17%

R16

Round of 16

Spain19%
Canada13%
Switzerland11%

QF

Quarter-final

Argentina20%
Belgium12%
Iran7%

SF

Semi-final

Brazil14%
France9%
Germany7%

F

Final

Argentina11%
Spain10%
Portugal9%
2

O elenco

Confirmed squad

Model-predicted · snapshot 2026-05-28

Roster confirmed by the federation's official squad announcement. The XI/bench split below is the model's composite-rating ordering, not the head coach's lineup.

Goalkeepers (1)
PlayerStat
GK
David OspinaCaps-driven↘Atlético Nacional
129c78save%0.50
Defenders (4)
PlayerStat
DF
Davinson SánchezCaps-driven↘Galatasaray
77c45tackles0.39
DF
Daniel Muñoz↘Crystal Palace
44c—0.77
DF
Yerry MinaCaps-driven→Cagliari
52c25tackles0.50
DF
Santiago AriasCaps-driven↘Independiente
66c30tackles0.33
Midfielders (3)
PlayerStat
MF
James RodríguezGoals-driven↘Minnesota United
124c41assists0.83
MF
Jefferson LermaCaps-driven↗Crystal Palace
64c3assists0.51
MF
Jhon Arias↘Palmeiras
36c5assists0.80
Forwards (3)
PlayerStat
FW
Luis Díaz↗Bayern Munich
72c21goals0.94
FW
Jhon CórdobaRating-driven↘Krasnodar
21c6goals0.62
FW
Cucho HernándezRating-drivenBetis
7c2goals0.76
Bench

★ likely first sub badge on the top-3 by first-sub score within each position group, plus a late-game impact rating where club per-90 stats are available.

Goalkeepers (2)
PlayerStat
GK
Camilo VargasCaps-driven↘Atlas★ Likely first sub
40c—0.51
GK
Álvaro MonteroRating-drivenVélez Sarsfield★ Likely first sub
11c—0.57
Defenders (4)
PlayerStat
DF
Johan MojicaCaps-driven↗Mallorca★ Likely first subimpact 16/100
43c45tackles0.73
DF
Jhon Lucumí→Bologna★ Likely first subimpact 8/100
35c—0.61
DF
Deiver MachadoRating-drivenNantes★ Likely first subimpact 17/100
14c—0.40
DF
Willer DittaCaps-drivenCruz Azul
3c—0.00
Midfielders (7)
PlayerStat
MF
Juan Fernando QuinteroCaps-drivenRiver Plate
47c11assists0.46
MF
Richard Ríos↘Benfica★ Likely first sub
30c2assists0.77
MF
Kevin CastañoRiver Plate
24c1assists0.63
MF
Jorge CarrascalRating-drivenFlamengo★ Likely first sub
22c2assists0.66
MF
Jaminton CampazRating-drivenRosario Central★ Likely first sub
9c0assists0.63
MF
Juan PortillaRating-drivenAthletico Paranaense
8c0assists0.53
MF
Gustavo PuertaCaps-drivenRacing de Santander
4c0assists0.00
Forwards (2)
PlayerStat
FW
Luis SuárezRating-drivenSporting CP★ Likely first sub
10c4goals0.57
FW
Andrés GómezRating-drivenVasco da Gama★ Likely first sub
6c2goals0.57
▸How to read this squad— 4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Caps
Senior international appearances. Used by the model as a recency-weighted signal of how often the manager calls the player up.
Stat
Position-aware stat: career international goals for forwards; career international assists for midfielders (Transfermarkt); latest available Big-5 club season's total tackles for defenders (FBref); latest available Big-5 club season's save percentage for goalkeepers (FBref). Em-dash when no data is joined — most often for defenders and keepers at non-Big-5 clubs.
Rating
Composite rating (Model #4) — combines recent caps + goals, recent club xG and xAG per 90, position-relative quality, and call-up priors. Higher = the model thinks the player is more likely to start. Typically 0.9 (depth) to 2.5 (elite).
★ Likely first sub — the bench player the model rates most likely to be the first substitute for their position. Computed from a first-sub score (cap-recency + impact rating); ties broken by Rating.

Selection driver — coloured chips show which input dominates a player's selection score. Caps-driven = selected mainly on international experience. Rating-driven = selected mainly on club performance quality. Jersey-boosted = jersey number from a recent squad snapshot lifted their score. Goals-driven = international goal record was the decisive factor. No chip when the score is a balanced blend.

Squad cohesion

Projected XI · club overlap

Pairwise club minutes
2.25%
Share of the 55-pair × 3000-minute ceiling. Higher = more of the XI plays together at club level.
Club concentration
0.184
How concentrated the XI is across clubs. 0.091 = 11 different clubs · 1.000 = all the same club.
Top-3 clubs share
57%
4 of 7 play for the three most common clubs in the XI.

Top clubs in projected XI

  • Crystal Palace2
  • Cagliari1
  • Tottenham1

Most-connected club pair

Daniel Muñoz + Jefferson Lerma — Crystal Palace, 2024-25 · 3,714 shared minutes

Descriptive metric — does not feed the published probabilities. Methodology →

Squad depth

Projected XI · replaceability

Most irreplaceable starters

  1. Luis DíazWingerLikely cover: Jaminton Campaz · 0.63Rosario Central0.31gap to repl.
  2. Cucho HernándezStrikerLikely cover: Luis Suárez · 0.57Sporting CP0.20gap to repl.
  3. Jhon AriasWingerLikely cover: Jaminton Campaz · 0.63Rosario Central0.17gap to repl.

Gap to repl. = how far this nation's rating at the position falls from the starter to his likely in-squad replacement (named above). Larger = harder to replace.

Descriptive metric — does not feed the published probabilities. Methodology →

3

Calendário do grupo

Group-stage schedule

MDDateOpponentVenue
1Jun 17, 2026UzbekistanMexico City, Mexico
2Jun 23, 2026DR CongoZapopan, Mexico
3Jun 27, 2026PortugalMiami Gardens, United States

Confrontos diretos

Artilheiros projetados de Colombia →

4

Histórias

Storylines

Updated 49 days ago
Strong in goalDavid Ospina

#1 starting-GK rating in the field — 1.00 on club-derived save metrics across 48 teams.

Dead-ballJames Rodríguez

Takes corners, free kicks, and penalties — the team's dead-ball threat.

NewcomerCucho Hernández

7 caps for the senior side, 27 at kickoff.

TouchlineNéstor Lorenzo

First World Cup as head coach, appointed 2022.

5

Forma e retrospecto

Video analysis: Colombia

Performance data from official highlights analysis across 5 matches. 32 players observed, 5 events tracked.

9
Luis DíazStandout performer

Delivered a man-of-the-match performance, constantly threatening the opposition goal and scoring a crucial goal.

1 goal
3
Goals
1
Shots
1
Fouls won
0
Cards
Rating spread(34 ratings)
8+ (9)7 (13)6 (8)5- (4)

Match by match

gs-022
3 goals1 shots
gs-046
gs-069
r16-008
r32-015

Player ratings (32)

9
Luis Díaz1 app · 3 events
1 goal1 shot (1 on target)1 fouls won
9
▼

Delivered a man-of-the-match performance, constantly threatening the opposition goal and scoring a crucial goal.

gs-0229Delivered a man-of-the-match performance, constantly threatening the opposition goal and scoring a crucial goal.
8
Daniel Muñoz1 app · 1 events
1 goal
8
▼

Scored a crucial opening goal with a well-taken volley, demonstrating excellent attacking instincts from his defensive role.

gs-0228Scored a crucial opening goal with a well-taken volley, demonstrating excellent attacking instincts from his defensive role.
8
João Neves1 app
8
▼

Scored the opening goal for Portugal with excellent positioning and a well-placed header.

gs-0468Scored the opening goal for Portugal with excellent positioning and a well-placed header.
8
Dominik Livaković1 app
8
▼

Delivered an outstanding performance with a string of crucial saves, despite conceding two goals including a penalty.

gs-0698Delivered an outstanding performance with a string of crucial saves, despite conceding two goals including a penalty.
8
Alexis Mac Allister1 app
8
▼

Scored Argentina's opening goal with a well-placed header from a corner.

r16-0088Scored Argentina's opening goal with a well-placed header from a corner.
8
Lionel Messi1 app
8
▼

Provided a crucial assist from a corner kick and had a notable shot on target.

r16-0088Provided a crucial assist from a corner kick and had a notable shot on target.
8
Julian Alvarez1 app
8
▼

Scored Argentina's second goal with a decisive and powerful finish.

r16-0088Scored Argentina's second goal with a decisive and powerful finish.
8
Lautaro Martinez1 app
8
▼

Showed good predatory instincts to score Argentina's third goal from a rebound.

r16-0088Showed good predatory instincts to score Argentina's third goal from a rebound.
8
Luis Suarez1 app
8
▼

Showcased excellent skill and delivered a precise assist for the match-winning goal, demonstrating his creative influence.

r32-0158Showcased excellent skill and delivered a precise assist for the match-winning goal, demonstrating his creative influence.
7
Jaminton Campaz2 apps · 1 events
1 goal
77
▼

Made an immediate impact by scoring a late goal to seal the victory after coming on as a substitute.

gs-0227Made an immediate impact by scoring a late goal to seal the victory after coming on as a substitute.
r16-0087Was unlucky to hit the crossbar with a shot and successfully converted his penalty.
7
Cancelo1 app
7
▼

Showed good attacking intent from left-back, forcing a save from the opposition goalkeeper.

gs-0467Showed good attacking intent from left-back, forcing a save from the opposition goalkeeper.
7
Bruno Fernandes1 app
7
▼

Unleashed a powerful shot from distance that tested the goalkeeper, showcasing his offensive threat.

gs-0467Unleashed a powerful shot from distance that tested the goalkeeper, showcasing his offensive threat.
7
Portugal Goalkeeper1 app
7
▼

Made a crucial diving save in the first half to prevent Congo DR from scoring and maintaining Portugal's lead.

gs-0467Made a crucial diving save in the first half to prevent Congo DR from scoring and maintaining Portugal's lead.
7
Ivan Perišić1 app
7
▼

Opened the scoring for Croatia with a well-placed shot, demonstrating his attacking quality.

gs-0697Opened the scoring for Croatia with a well-placed shot, demonstrating his attacking quality.
7
Nikola Vlašić1 app
7
▼

Showed offensive threat by hitting the post and being involved in a disallowed goal.

gs-0697Showed offensive threat by hitting the post and being involved in a disallowed goal.
7
J. Velez1 app
7
▼

Made a vital defensive block to deny a shot and also showed offensive initiative with an attempt on goal.

gs-0697Made a vital defensive block to deny a shot and also showed offensive initiative with an attempt on goal.
7
Camilo Vargas1 app
7
▼

Made several crucial saves during regular time and saved a penalty in the shootout, keeping Colombia in contention.

r16-0087Made several crucial saves during regular time and saved a penalty in the shootout, keeping Colombia in contention.
7
James Rodríguez1 app
7
▼

Demonstrated attacking intent with a powerful shot that required a good save from the opposition goalkeeper.

r16-0087Demonstrated attacking intent with a powerful shot that required a good save from the opposition goalkeeper.
7
Juan Fernando Quintero1 app
7
▼

Was unlucky to hit the crossbar with a header and scored his penalty with precision.

r16-0087Was unlucky to hit the crossbar with a header and scored his penalty with precision.
7
Mejia1 app
7
▼

Created a significant scoring opportunity with a well-struck shot that required a top-class save from the opposition goalkeeper.

r32-0157Created a significant scoring opportunity with a well-struck shot that required a top-class save from the opposition goalkeeper.
6.5
Luis Diaz2 apps
67
▼

Attempted a shot from distance, contributing to the team's attacking pressure.

gs-0696Attempted a shot from distance, contributing to the team's attacking pressure.
r32-0157A dynamic attacking presence who consistently created chances but was let down by his finishing on two key opportunities.
6
Luka Sučić1 app
6
▼

Was actively involved in attacking sequences that led to disallowed goals, showing his forward runs and offensive presence.

gs-0696Was actively involved in attacking sequences that led to disallowed goals, showing his forward runs and offensive presence.
6
P. Velez1 app
6
▼

Showed some offensive initiative by attempting a shot from outside the box.

gs-0696Showed some offensive initiative by attempting a shot from outside the box.
6
L. Arias1 app
6
▼

Contributed to the attack with a long-range shot, adding to Portugal's offensive pressure.

gs-0696Contributed to the attack with a long-range shot, adding to Portugal's offensive pressure.
6
Jhon Lucumí1 app
6
▼

Contributed to the attack with a shot from inside the box that was saved.

r16-0086Contributed to the attack with a shot from inside the box that was saved.
6
Luis Suárez1 app
6
▼

Had a shot on goal that was saved by the opposition goalkeeper.

r16-0086Had a shot on goal that was saved by the opposition goalkeeper.
6
Thiago Almada1 app
6
▼

Had a strong shot on target that was saved, leading to a subsequent goal.

r16-0086Had a strong shot on target that was saved, leading to a subsequent goal.
6
Quintero1 app
6
▼

Contributed an offensive effort late in the game with a powerful long-range strike that ultimately missed the target.

r32-0156Contributed an offensive effort late in the game with a powerful long-range strike that ultimately missed the target.
5
Ronaldo1 app
5
▼

Despite being central to Portugal's attacks, he missed several clear opportunities and had a goal disallowed, impacting the team's ability to win.

gs-0465Despite being central to Portugal's attacks, he missed several clear opportunities and had a goal disallowed, impacting the team's ability to win.
5
Davinson Sánchez1 app
5
▼

Contributed offensively with a shot and aerial threat but missed a crucial penalty.

r16-0085Contributed offensively with a shot and aerial threat but missed a crucial penalty.
5
Cuadrado1 app
5
▼

Had his penalty saved by the opposition goalkeeper during the shootout.

r16-0085Had his penalty saved by the opposition goalkeeper during the shootout.
4
Leandro Paredes1 app
4
▼

Received a yellow card for a foul, which was his only notable action.

r16-0084Received a yellow card for a foul, which was his only notable action.

Match observations

  • gs-022The match was played at Mexico City Stadium.
  • gs-022Uzbekistan were making their debut in the competition.
  • gs-022Colombia showed strong attacking intent throughout the match, particularly through Luis Diaz.
  • gs-046The match was a closely contested affair, with both teams finding the net and creating numerous opportunities.
  • gs-046Portugal took an early lead, but Congo DR responded well to equalise in the second half.
  • gs-046The game featured end-to-end action, with both goalkeepers called upon to make significant stops.
  • gs-069The match was a competitive encounter with both teams creating numerous chances, though several goals were ruled out for offside.
  • gs-069Croatia took an early lead, but Portugal responded with a penalty to equalize.
  • gs-069The game saw a late surge from Portugal, culminating in a winning header.
  • r16-008The match between Switzerland and Colombia was a tightly contested affair, ending in a goalless draw after extra time.
  • r16-008Both teams created several scoring opportunities throughout the game, with Colombia particularly unlucky to hit the crossbar twice.
  • r16-008The game was ultimately decided by a penalty shootout, where Switzerland emerged victorious.
  • r32-015Colombia secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Ghana in a hard-fought Round of 32 encounter.
  • r32-015The match was characterized by Colombia's attacking prowess and Ghana's resilient defending, particularly from their goalkeeper.
  • r32-015Colombia created numerous opportunities, especially on the counter-attack, while Ghana struggled to convert their limited chances.

Statistical profile

Pragmatic

Attack

Attack rating1.1510th/48
Shots per match10.927th/48
Chance quality0.13119th/48

Defence

Defence rating1.0643rd/48
Goalkeeper rating1.001st/48

GK: David Ospina

Set pieces

Set-piece goal share12.4%23rd/48
Penalty conversion71.4%40th/48
Penalty save rate22.9%20th/48

Style

Possession52.8%16th/48
Press intensity18.913th/48
Directness6.618th/48
Crossing volume437.519th/48
Long ball volume40.99th/48
Build-up length6.221st/48

Squad

Avg. minutes per starter1,72319th/48
Club familiarity0.0229th/48

Workload class: light

Attack and defence ratings from the model; style metrics from recent international matches; penalty rates via Bayesian estimation; goalkeeper rating from shot-prevention data. Rank is out of 48 tournament teams.

Where goals come from

Phase of play · scored & conceded

Scored18 goals · 120 shots
Conceded6 goals · 108 shots
  • Open play
  • Set piece
  • Counter
  • Penalty

Share of goals by how the chance began, across 10 matches (CopaAmerica2024,WC2018). Shoot-out kicks are excluded. Descriptive metric — does not feed the published probabilities. Methodology →

Group-stage matchups

vs Uzbekistan2026-06-17
Win73.3%
Draw22.4%
Loss4.3%
Expected goals for1.88
Expected goals against0.48
Likeliest score0-1 (17.3%)
Both teams score32.8%
Clean sheet61.9%
Full fixture analysis →
vs DR Congo2026-06-23
Win68.5%
Draw25.7%
Loss5.7%
Expected goals for1.57
Expected goals against0.49
Likeliest score0-1 (19.5%)
Both teams score31.1%
Clean sheet61.5%
Full fixture analysis →
vs Portugal2026-06-27
Win30.4%
Draw27.8%
Loss41.8%
Expected goals for1.00
Expected goals against1.19
Likeliest score1-1 (14.1%)
Both teams score44.8%
Clean sheet30.3%
Full fixture analysis →

Probabilities from the calibrated ensemble model. xG from the Dixon–Coles fit. See each fixture page for full analysis.

Rating & probability history

12 snapshots · 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-24
Colombia — Elo and tournament-winner probability over 12 snapshotsColombia trajectory: 12 snapshots between 2026-05-22 and 2026-06-24 (33 days). Elo moved from 1975.0 to 1975.0 (0). Tournament-winner probability moved from 3.8% to 4.7% (+0.8pp).Elo rating19651972197819852026-05-22 · Elo 1975.02026-06-06 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-06 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-07 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-07 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-07 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-08 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-08 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-10 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-10 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-23 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)2026-06-24 · Elo 1975.0 (0 vs prior)Tournament-winner probability2.2%3.6%5.0%6.4%2026-05-22 · 3.8% (CI 2.5%–6.0%)2026-06-06 · 4.4% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (+0.6pp vs prior)2026-06-06 · 4.4% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-07 · 4.4% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-07 · 4.5% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (+0.1pp vs prior)2026-06-07 · 4.5% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-08 · 5.9% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (+1.4pp vs prior)2026-06-08 · 4.4% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (−1.5pp vs prior)2026-06-10 · 4.4% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-10 · 4.4% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (0pp vs prior)2026-06-23 · 4.3% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (−0.1pp vs prior)2026-06-24 · 4.7% (CI 2.6%–5.7%) (+0.3pp vs prior)snapshot date (2026-05-22 → 2026-06-24)

Colombia trajectory: 12 snapshots between 2026-05-22 and 2026-06-24 (33 days). Elo moved from 1975.0 to 1975.0 (0). Tournament-winner probability moved from 3.8% to 4.7% (+0.8pp).

Each point is one model build. The shaded band is the bootstrap 90% credible interval around the tournament-winner probability.

Recent form (10 matches)

Record5W · 3D · 2L
Goals21–10
Form
DateOpponentScoreResultCompetition
2026-03-29NFrance1–3LFriendly
2026-03-26NCroatia1–2LFriendly
2025-11-18NAustralia3–0WFriendly
2025-11-15NNew Zealand2–1WFriendly
2025-10-14NCanada0–0DFriendly
2025-10-11NMexico4–0WFriendly
2025-09-09AVenezuela6–3WFIFA World Cup qualification
2025-09-04HBolivia3–0WFIFA World Cup qualification
2025-06-10AArgentina1–1DFIFA World Cup qualification
2025-06-06HPeru0–0DFIFA World Cup qualification

martj42 international results (CC0) · last 10 matches · ~2 years.

Head-to-head vs group opponents

OpponentMeetingsW-D-LLast meeting
DR Congo11-0-02026 — Win (1–0) · FIFA World Cup
Uzbekistan11-0-02026 — Win (3–1) · FIFA World Cup
Portugal0—No prior meetings

All meetings via the martj42 international results dataset.

Major tournaments — most recent appearance

TournamentYearFinishW-D-LSince then
Copa América2024Runner-up4-1-1
  • Same head coach (Néstor Lorenzo) since 2022
  • 23/35 of current pool (66%) were active that year
FIFA World Cup2018Round of 162-1-1
  • New head coach since then — now Néstor Lorenzo (appointed 2022)
  • 10/35 of current pool (29%) were active that year
Gold Cup2005Semi-finals2-0-3
  • New head coach since then — now Néstor Lorenzo (appointed 2022)
  • 0/35 of current pool (0%) were active that year

Source: FIFA archives. Penalty outcomes resolved to W/L.

Most similar past team-tournaments

Closest comparable teams from past major tournaments (1990-2024), by squad strength, group draw, and recent form. Shown for context, not a prediction.

  • Argentina · Copa América 2007

    Finished runner-up

    Comparable pre-tournament strength (Elo 2012) and group draw.

  • Uruguay · Copa América 2021

    Exited at the quarter-final

  • Argentina · Copa América 2004

    Won the tournament

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