Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Group B · Matchday 1
CanadavsBosnia and Herzegovina
·15:00 local
Snapshot · 2026-05-28Elenco de Canada →Elenco de Bosnia and Herzegovina →Ao vivo →Confronto direto →
Latest news & match context
Team news
- Canada caught a break with its World Cup group. Can it take advantage? · Toronto Star · 11 Jun
Match conditions
- Stage:
- Group B · Matchday 1
Both sides have several players facing fitness concerns ahead of this fixture; unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.
Match-outcome probability
- Canada win57.9%
- Draw24.5%
- Bosnia and Herzegovina win17.6%
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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.
The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.
Scoreline distribution
Half-time / full-time
Four models compared
Most likely scorers
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See exactly how Canada v Bosnia and Herzegovina plays out
The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.
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