예측 대 결과 · Round of 32 · Match 9

United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

2026-07-02

회고는 경기 종료 후 게시됩니다. 이 경기가 끝나면, 이 페이지에 아래의 고정된 경기 전 예측이 실제 결과와 어떻게 비교되었는지 표시됩니다: Brier score, log loss, 최종 xG 대 예측 xG. 그때까지 실시간 트래커.

Pre-match forecast

United States win
55.3%
Draw
27.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina win
17.6%
United States
1.44
expected
goals
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.79

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

United States
7
Sergiño Dest

Showed good attacking intent from his defensive position, nearly scoring with a header.

1shots1headers

Match timeline

4
Folarin Balogun13'–54'

Scored a goal but was sent off with a red card, significantly impacting his team's numerical advantage.

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Match timeline

13'Balogun scores, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
32'Balogun scores for USA.
54'Balogun receives a red card.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
8
Friz

Made several crucial saves, including a close-range stop and punching away dangerous corners, keeping his team in the game.

5
Amar Memić140'–140'

Registered one of his team's few attacking attempts, though his low shot went wide.

1shots

Match timeline

140'Memic's low shot goes wide of the goal.

Match observations

  • The match saw the United States of America create numerous attacking opportunities, with two goals disallowed for offside before their first legitimate strike.
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina struggled to establish a consistent attacking rhythm, relying mostly on defensive solidity and occasional long-range efforts.
  • A red card for a USA player altered the dynamic, yet the home side managed to extend their lead from a set piece.

읽는 방법. 단일 경기의 Brier와 log-loss는 노이즈가 많습니다. 중요한 것은 많은 경기에 걸친 보정입니다. 이 경기별 회고는 다음의 종합 보정 스코어보드에 포함되는 하나의 행입니다: /docs/calibration/. 여기 표시된 경기 전 확률은 킥오프 전에 고정된 것이며, 경기 중에 재산정되지 않았습니다.