Prévision vs résultat · Round of 32 · Match 9

United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

2026-07-02

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

United States win
55.3%
Draw
27.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina win
17.6%
United States
1.44
expected
goals
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.79

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

United States
7
Sergiño Dest

Showed good attacking intent from his defensive position, nearly scoring with a header.

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Match timeline

4
Folarin Balogun13'–54'

Scored a goal but was sent off with a red card, significantly impacting his team's numerical advantage.

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Match timeline

13'Balogun scores, but the goal is disallowed for offside.
32'Balogun scores for USA.
54'Balogun receives a red card.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
8
Friz

Made several crucial saves, including a close-range stop and punching away dangerous corners, keeping his team in the game.

5
Amar Memić140'–140'

Registered one of his team's few attacking attempts, though his low shot went wide.

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Match timeline

140'Memic's low shot goes wide of the goal.

Match observations

  • The match saw the United States of America create numerous attacking opportunities, with two goals disallowed for offside before their first legitimate strike.
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina struggled to establish a consistent attacking rhythm, relying mostly on defensive solidity and occasional long-range efforts.
  • A red card for a USA player altered the dynamic, yet the home side managed to extend their lead from a set piece.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.