Prévision vs résultat · Group I · Matchday 3

Senegal vs Iraq

2026-06-26

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

Senegal win
66.2%
Draw
26.3%
Iraq win
7.5%
Senegal
1.57
expected
goals
Iraq
0.52

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Senegal
9
Sadio Mané

A standout performer who scored two impressive goals, including a powerful shot after a skillful dribble, demonstrating exceptional attacking prowess.

1goals

Match timeline

8
Lamine Camara

Scored the crucial opening goal with a well-placed header, setting the tone for Senegal's dominant performance.

1goals1headers

Match timeline

8
Ismaïla Sarr5'–41'

Showed excellent pace and clinical finishing, scoring a crucial goal and creating an early chance that tested the opposition goalkeeper.

3goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

5'Belgium goalkeeper makes a crucial save to deny Ismaila Sarr from close range.
41'Ismaila Sarr extends Senegal's lead with a well-taken low shot after a strong run.
8
Habib Diallo23'–23'

Demonstrated good positioning to convert a cross for Senegal's first goal, putting his team ahead.

2goals

Match timeline

23'Habib Diallo scores for Senegal with a close-range finish after a cross into the box, putting them ahead.
Iraq
5
Ali Al-Hamadi

Despite being observed in defensive actions, he was ultimately unable to prevent Senegal's goals, indicating a struggle to impact the game defensively.

Match timeline

5
Tariq

Was observed in defensive positions during Senegal's attacks, but his efforts were not enough to prevent the team from conceding multiple goals.

4
Manaf Younes

Struggled defensively against Senegal's attacking moves, contributing to his team conceding multiple goals.

4
Merchas Doski

Was part of an Iraq defense that conceded multiple times, indicating a collective failure to withstand the attacking pressure.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • Senegal delivered a dominant attacking performance, scoring five goals against Iraq.
  • The highlights showcased Senegal's clinical finishing and individual skill in front of goal.
  • Iraq's defence struggled to contain the relentless pressure from the home side.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.