预测与结果对照 · Group I · Matchday 3

Senegal vs Iraq

2026-06-26

回顾将在全场结束后发布。 比赛结束后, 本页将展示下方锁定的赛前预测与实际结果的对比: Brier score、log loss, 以及最终 xG 与预测 xG。在此之前, 可在以下页面实时关注 实时追踪.

Pre-match forecast

Senegal win
66.2%
Draw
26.3%
Iraq win
7.5%
Senegal
1.57
expected
goals
Iraq
0.52

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Senegal
9
Sadio Mané

A standout performer who scored two impressive goals, including a powerful shot after a skillful dribble, demonstrating exceptional attacking prowess.

1goals

Match timeline

8
Lamine Camara

Scored the crucial opening goal with a well-placed header, setting the tone for Senegal's dominant performance.

1goals1headers

Match timeline

8
Ismaïla Sarr5'–41'

Showed excellent pace and clinical finishing, scoring a crucial goal and creating an early chance that tested the opposition goalkeeper.

3goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

5'Belgium goalkeeper makes a crucial save to deny Ismaila Sarr from close range.
41'Ismaila Sarr extends Senegal's lead with a well-taken low shot after a strong run.
8
Habib Diallo23'–23'

Demonstrated good positioning to convert a cross for Senegal's first goal, putting his team ahead.

2goals

Match timeline

23'Habib Diallo scores for Senegal with a close-range finish after a cross into the box, putting them ahead.
Iraq
5
Ali Al-Hamadi

Despite being observed in defensive actions, he was ultimately unable to prevent Senegal's goals, indicating a struggle to impact the game defensively.

Match timeline

5
Tariq

Was observed in defensive positions during Senegal's attacks, but his efforts were not enough to prevent the team from conceding multiple goals.

4
Manaf Younes

Struggled defensively against Senegal's attacking moves, contributing to his team conceding multiple goals.

4
Merchas Doski

Was part of an Iraq defense that conceded multiple times, indicating a collective failure to withstand the attacking pressure.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • Senegal delivered a dominant attacking performance, scoring five goals against Iraq.
  • The highlights showcased Senegal's clinical finishing and individual skill in front of goal.
  • Iraq's defence struggled to contain the relentless pressure from the home side.

如何阅读本页。 单场比赛的 Brier 和 log-loss 波动较大, 重要的是预测在多场比赛中的整体校准表现。本页是汇总校准计分板中的一行, 位于 /docs/calibration/. 此处显示的赛前概率是开球前锁定的, 比赛期间从未更新。