Previsão vs resultado · Group I · Matchday 3

Senegal vs Iraq

2026-06-26

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Senegal win
66.2%
Draw
26.3%
Iraq win
7.5%
Senegal
1.57
expected
goals
Iraq
0.52

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Senegal
9
Sadio Mané

A standout performer who scored two impressive goals, including a powerful shot after a skillful dribble, demonstrating exceptional attacking prowess.

1goals

Match timeline

8
Lamine Camara

Scored the crucial opening goal with a well-placed header, setting the tone for Senegal's dominant performance.

1goals1headers

Match timeline

8
Ismaïla Sarr5'–41'

Showed excellent pace and clinical finishing, scoring a crucial goal and creating an early chance that tested the opposition goalkeeper.

3goals1shots1on target

Match timeline

5'Belgium goalkeeper makes a crucial save to deny Ismaila Sarr from close range.
41'Ismaila Sarr extends Senegal's lead with a well-taken low shot after a strong run.
8
Habib Diallo23'–23'

Demonstrated good positioning to convert a cross for Senegal's first goal, putting his team ahead.

2goals

Match timeline

23'Habib Diallo scores for Senegal with a close-range finish after a cross into the box, putting them ahead.
Iraq
5
Ali Al-Hamadi

Despite being observed in defensive actions, he was ultimately unable to prevent Senegal's goals, indicating a struggle to impact the game defensively.

Match timeline

5
Tariq

Was observed in defensive positions during Senegal's attacks, but his efforts were not enough to prevent the team from conceding multiple goals.

4
Manaf Younes

Struggled defensively against Senegal's attacking moves, contributing to his team conceding multiple goals.

4
Merchas Doski

Was part of an Iraq defense that conceded multiple times, indicating a collective failure to withstand the attacking pressure.

Match timeline

Match observations

  • Senegal delivered a dominant attacking performance, scoring five goals against Iraq.
  • The highlights showcased Senegal's clinical finishing and individual skill in front of goal.
  • Iraq's defence struggled to contain the relentless pressure from the home side.

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.